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Modèles et méthodes actuarielles pour l'évaluation quantitative des risques en environnement solvabilité II


  • Hess, Christian


  • Ben Dbabis, Makram


The new prudential standards, Solvency II, consider the question of controling of insurer and reinsurer’s solvency. In this thesis, we’ve proposed technical solution for solvency capital assessment to keep ruin’s probability under the target of 0.5% aimed by the Solvency II project in internal model prospect. The First part will discuss the problem of economic valorization of life insurance liabilities and will present different modeling approaches to determine the net assets value distribution and assess the 0.5% percentile that can solve it :– Nested simulation approach which is too much time consumer,– Nested simulation accelerator,– Replication portfolio approach,– Loss function approach.In the second part, we will focus on biometric risks modeling. Two stochastic modeling approaches was developped in order to model mortality & longevity and morbidity risks. The third part will focus on capital optimization using reinsurance as a tool of capital reduction.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Dbabis, Makram, 2012. "Modèles et méthodes actuarielles pour l'évaluation quantitative des risques en environnement solvabilité II," Economics Thesis from University Paris Dauphine, Paris Dauphine University, number 123456789/11415 edited by Hess, Christian, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:dau:thesis:123456789/11415
    Note: dissertation

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Borch, Karl, 1960. "Reciprocal Reinsurance Treaties," ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the International Actuarial Association, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(04), pages 170-191, December.
    2. Cai, Jun & Tan, Ken Seng, 2007. "Optimal Retention for a Stop-loss Reinsurance Under the VaR and CTE Risk Measures," ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the International Actuarial Association, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(01), pages 93-112, May.
    3. Brouhns, Natacha & Denuit, Michel & Vermunt, Jeroen K., 2002. "A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected lifetables," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 373-393, December.
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    More about this item


    Solvabilité II; Modèles internes; Probabilité de ruine; Risques techniques; Réassurance; Optimisation dynamique; Solvency II; Ruin's probability; Reinsurance; Dynamic optimization;

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies


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