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Quantitative Risk Analysis on the Transport of Dangerous Goods Through a Bi‐Directional Road Tunnel

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  • Ciro Caliendo
  • Maria Luisa De Guglielmo

Abstract

A quantitative risk analysis (QRA) regarding dangerous goods vehicles (DGVs) running through road tunnels was set up. Peak hourly traffic volumes (VHP), percentage of heavy goods vehicles (HGVs), and failure of the emergency ventilation system were investigated in order to assess their impact on the risk level. The risk associated with an alternative route running completely in the open air and passing through a highly populated urban area was also evaluated. The results in terms of social risk, as F/N curves, show an increased risk level with an increase the VHP, the percentage of HGVs, and a failure of the emergency ventilation system. The risk curves of the tunnel investigated were found to lie both above and below those of the alternative route running in the open air depending on the type of dangerous goods transported. In particular, risk was found to be greater in the tunnel for two fire scenarios (no explosion). In contrast, the risk level for the exposed population was found to be greater for the alternative route in three possible accident scenarios associated with explosions and toxic releases. Therefore, one should be wary before stating that for the transport of dangerous products an itinerary running completely in the open air might be used if the latter passes through a populated area. The QRA may help decisionmakers both to implement additional safety measures and to understand whether to allow, forbid, or limit circulation of DGVs.

Suggested Citation

  • Ciro Caliendo & Maria Luisa De Guglielmo, 2017. "Quantitative Risk Analysis on the Transport of Dangerous Goods Through a Bi‐Directional Road Tunnel," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(1), pages 116-129, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:37:y:2017:i:1:p:116-129
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12594
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Konstantinos A. Kirytopoulos & Athanasios A. Rentizelas & Ilias P. Tatsiopoulos & George Papadopoulos, 2010. "Quantitative risk analysis for road tunnels complying with EU regulations," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(8), pages 1027-1041, December.
    2. Stanley Kaplan & B. John Garrick, 1981. "On The Quantitative Definition of Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(1), pages 11-27, March.
    3. Frank Saccomanno & Palle Haastrup, 2002. "Influence of Safety Measures on the Risks of Transporting Dangerous Goods Through Road Tunnels," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(6), pages 1059-1069, December.
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