IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/mgtdec/v42y2021i1p77-84.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Determination of expected cost of equity with the CAPM: Theoretical extension using the law of error propagation

Author

Listed:
  • Mario Situm

Abstract

The determination of the expected return on equity based on the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is an internationally recognized method, although the underlying theory is not without criticism and therefore leaves sufficient room for interpretation. Strictly speaking, the expected return on equity cannot be determined per se, as all parameters of the CAPM have to be estimated and contain measurement errors. The statistical measurement errors would have to be included in the calculation of the expected return on equity. The paper discusses the current view on how the expected return on equity is determined in the Germen‐speaking countries and presents an approach to transfer the measurement errors of the parameter risk‐free rate, market risk premium, and company beta to the calculated return on equity using the Gaussian law of error propagation.

Suggested Citation

  • Mario Situm, 2021. "Determination of expected cost of equity with the CAPM: Theoretical extension using the law of error propagation," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 77-84, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:mgtdec:v:42:y:2021:i:1:p:77-84
    DOI: 10.1002/mde.3214
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.3214
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/mde.3214?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Justin Pettit, 1999. "Corporate Capital Costs: A Practitioner'S Guide," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 12(1), pages 113-120, March.
    2. Praveen Kumar & Sorin M. Sorescu & Rodney D. Boehme & Bartley R. Danielsen, 2008. "Estimation Risk, Information, and the Conditional CAPM: Theory and Evidence," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(3), pages 1037-1075, May.
    3. Franck Bancel & Usha R. Mittoo, 2014. "The Gap between the Theory and Practice of Corporate Valuation: Survey of European Experts[We are ext]," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 26(4), pages 106-117, December.
    4. J. Sarmiento-Sabogal & M. Sadeghi, 2015. "Estimating the cost of equity for private firms using accounting fundamentals," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 288-301, January.
    5. Ľuboš Pástor & Robert F. Stambaugh, 1999. "Costs of Equity Capital and Model Mispricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(1), pages 67-121, February.
    6. Glenn Boyle, 2005. "Risk, expected return, and the cost of equity capital," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 181-194.
    7. Pawel Bilinski & Danielle Lyssimachou, 2014. "Risk Interpretation of the CAPM's Beta: Evidence from a New Research Method," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 50(2), pages 203-226, June.
    8. Stephen Penman, 2016. "Valuation: The State of the Art," Schmalenbach Business Review, Springer;Schmalenbach-Gesellschaft, vol. 17(1), pages 3-23, April.
    9. Leon Zolotoy & Andrew John, 2016. "What Cost of Capital Should You Use? The Market Has an Answer," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 28(3), pages 95-102, September.
    10. Wayne E. Ferson & Dennis H. Locke, 1998. "Estimating the Cost of Capital Through Time: An Analysis of the Sources of Error," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(4), pages 485-500, April.
    11. M. C. Freeman & I. R. Davidson, 1999. "Estimating the equity premium," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 236-246.
    12. Glenn Boyle, 2005. "Risk, expected return, and the cost of equity capital," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 181-194.
    13. Fritz A. Seiler, 1987. "Error Propagation for Large Errors," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(4), pages 509-518, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Da, Zhi & Guo, Re-Jin & Jagannathan, Ravi, 2012. "CAPM for estimating the cost of equity capital: Interpreting the empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 204-220.
    2. Magdalena Mikolajek-Gocejna, 2021. "Estimation, Instability, and Non-Stationarity of Beta Coefficients for Twenty-four Emerging Markets in 2005-2021," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 370-395.
    3. Božović, Miloš, 2023. "Can a dynamic correlation factor improve the pricing of industry portfolios?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    4. Patricia Fraser & Martin Hoesli & Lynn McAlevey, 2008. "House Prices and Bubbles in New Zealand," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 71-91, July.
    5. Yen-Hsiao Chen & Patricia Fraser, 2010. "What drives stock prices? Fundamentals, bubbles and investor behaviour," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(18), pages 1461-1477.
    6. Kirsten L. MacDonald & Robert J. Bianchi & Michael E. Drew, 2020. "Equity risk versus retirement adequacy: asset allocation solutions for KiwiSaver," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(4), pages 3851-3873, December.
    7. Simin, Timothy, 2008. "The Poor Predictive Performance of Asset Pricing Models," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(2), pages 355-380, June.
    8. Martínez-Sánchez, José Francisco & Pérez-Lechuga, Gilberto & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco (ed.), 2014. "Modelos para la toma de decisiones en la Ingeniería Económica y Financiera: Un enfoque estocástico Vol. 2," Sección de Estudios de Posgrado e Investigación de la Escuela Superios de Economía del Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, edition 1, volume 2, number 012, July.
    9. He, Zhongzhi & Kryzanowski, Lawrence, 2007. "Cost of equity for Canadian and U.S. sectors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 215-229, August.
    10. Max Schreder & Pawel Bilinski, 2022. "Information Quality and the Expected Rate of Return: A Structural Equation Modelling Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(2), pages 139-170, June.
    11. Magdalena Mikolajek-Gocejna, 2022. "Systematic Risk of ESG Companies Listed on the Polish Capital Market in 2019-2022," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 597-615.
    12. Han, Yufeng, 2012. "State uncertainty in stock markets: How big is the impact on the cost of equity?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 2575-2592.
    13. Francois-Éric Racicot & Raymond Théoret & Alain Coen, 2006. "Towards New Empirical Versions of Financial and Accounting Models Corrected for Measurement Errors," RePAd Working Paper Series UQO-DSA-wp132006, Département des sciences administratives, UQO.
    14. Ramazan Gencay & Nikola Gradojevic, 2009. "Errors-in-Variables Estimation with No Instruments," Working Paper series 30_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    15. Karel Janda, 2019. "Earnings Stability and Peer Company Selection for Multiple Based Indirect Valuation," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(1), pages 37-75, February.
    16. Lee, Inmoo & Park, Yuen Jung & Pearson, Neil D., 2020. "Repurchases after being well known as good news," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    17. David Souder & Greg Reilly & Philip Bromiley & Scott Mitchell, 2016. "A Behavioral Understanding of Investment Horizon and Firm Performance," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(5), pages 1202-1218, October.
    18. Jones, Christopher S. & Shanken, Jay, 2005. "Mutual fund performance with learning across funds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(3), pages 507-552, December.
    19. Smith, Simon C., 2021. "International stock return predictability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Wermers, Russ & Yao, Tong & Zhao, Jane, 2007. "The investment value of mutual fund portfolio disclosure," CFR Working Papers 06-09, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:mgtdec:v:42:y:2021:i:1:p:77-84. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/jhome/7976 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.