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Persistence in some energy futures markets


  • Juncal Cunado
  • Luis A. Gil‐Alana
  • Fernando Perez de Gracia


In this study, we examine the possibility of long‐range dependence in some energy futures markets for different maturities. In order to test for persistence, we use a variety of techniques based on non‐parametric, semi‐parametric and parametric methods. The results indicate that there is little or no evidence of long memory in gasoline, propane, oil and heating oil at different maturities. However, when we focus on the volatility process, proxied by the absolute returns, we find strong evidence of long memory in all the variables at different contracts. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 30:490–507, 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2010. "Persistence in some energy futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(5), pages 490-507, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:30:y:2010:i:5:p:490-507

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    Cited by:

    1. Charfeddine, Lanouar, 2016. "Breaks or long range dependence in the energy futures volatility: Out-of-sample forecasting and VaR analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 354-374.
    2. Demiralay, Sercan & Ulusoy, Veysel, 2014. "Non-linear volatility dynamics and risk management of precious metals," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 183-202.
    3. Suo, Yuan-Yuan & Wang, Dong-Hua & Li, Sai-Ping, 2015. "Risk estimation of CSI 300 index spot and futures in China from a new perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 344-353.
    4. Sensoy, Ahmet & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2014. "Time-varying long range dependence in energy futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 318-327.
    5. Charfeddine, Lanouar, 2014. "True or spurious long memory in volatility: Further evidence on the energy futures markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 76-93.
    6. repec:eee:riibaf:v:47:y:2019:i:c:p:600-615 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Ladislav Kristoufek, 2018. "Are the Crude Oil Markets Really Becoming More Efficient over Time? Some New Evidence," Working Papers IES 2018/07, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Feb 2018.
    8. Lovcha, Yuliya & Pérez Laborda, Àlex, 2018. "Volatility Spillovers in a Long-Memory VAR: an Application to Energy Futures Returns," Working Papers 2072/307362, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.

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