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Price discovery in the foreign exchange futures market

Author

Listed:
  • Yiuman Tse
  • Ju Xiang
  • Joseph K. W. Fung

Abstract

Examination is made of the relative contributions to price discovery of the floor and electronically traded euro FX and Japanese yen futures markets and the corresponding retail on‐line foreign exchange spot markets. GLOBEX electronic futures contracts provide the most price discovery in the euro; the on‐line trading spot market provides the most in the Japanese yen. The floor‐traded futures markets contribute the least to price discovery in both the euro and the Japanese yen markets. The overall results show that electronic trading platforms facilitate price discovery more efficiently than floor trading. Futures traders may also extract information from on‐line spot prices. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 26:1131–1143, 2006

Suggested Citation

  • Yiuman Tse & Ju Xiang & Joseph K. W. Fung, 2006. "Price discovery in the foreign exchange futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(11), pages 1131-1143, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:26:y:2006:i:11:p:1131-1143
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    Cited by:

    1. Martinez, Valeria & Tse, Yiuman, 2018. "Intraday price discovery analysis in the foreign exchange market of an emerging economy: Mexico," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 271-284.
    2. Sanjay Sehgal & Wasim Ahmad & Florent Deisting, 2015. "An investigation of price discovery and volatility spillovers in India’s foreign exchange market," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(2), pages 261-284, May.
    3. Paolo Pagnottoni & Thomas Dimpfl, 2019. "Price discovery on Bitcoin markets," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 139-161, November.
    4. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2018. "An analysis of time-varying commodity market price discovery," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 122-133.
    5. Oliver Entrop & Bart Frijns & Marco Seruset, 2020. "The determinants of price discovery on bitcoin markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 816-837, May.
    6. Frijns, Bart & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2018. "Time-varying arbitrage and dynamic price discovery," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 485-502.
    7. Yu‐Lun Chen & Yin‐Feng Gau, 2022. "The information effect of order flows in foreign currency futures and spot markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1549-1572, August.
    8. Stuart Snaith & Neil M. Kellard & Norzalina Ahmad, 2018. "Open outcry versus electronic trading: Tests of market efficiency on crude palm oil futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 673-695, June.
    9. Alexander, Carol & Choi, Jaehyuk & Massie, Hamish R.A. & Sohn, Sungbin, 2020. "Price discovery and microstructure in ether spot and derivative markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    10. Jatin Malhotra & Angelo Corelli, 2021. "The Relative Informativeness of Regular and E-Mini Euro/Dollar Futures Contracts and the Role of Trader Types," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-14, June.
    11. Alain Chaboud & Dagfinn Rime & Vladyslav Sushko, 2023. "The foreign exchange market," Chapters, in: Refet S. Gürkaynak & Jonathan H. Wright (ed.), Research Handbook of Financial Markets, chapter 12, pages 253-275, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    12. Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi & Ali Parhizgari, 2017. "Major Currency ETFs and Their Associated Spot and Futures Rates," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-32, December.
    13. Li, Wei-Xuan & Chen, Clara Chia-Sheng & Nguyen, James, 2022. "Which market dominates the price discovery in currency futures? The case of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the Intercontinental Exchange," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    14. Lin, Mei-Yin & An, Che-Lun, 2021. "The relationship between Bitcoin and resource commodity futures: Evidence from NARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    15. P. Sakthivel & Krishna Reddy Chittedi & Daniel Sakyi, 2017. "Price Discovery and Volatility Transmission in Currency Spot and Futures Markets in India: An Empirical Analysis," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 20(4), pages 931-945, August.
    16. Kapar, Burcu & Olmo, Jose, 2019. "An analysis of price discovery between Bitcoin futures and spot markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 62-64.
    17. Sanjay Sehgal & Mala Dutt, 2018. "Domestic and International Information Linkages for the US Dollar/Indian Rupee Contracts: An Empirical Study," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 43(4), pages 205-233, November.
    18. Chun-I Lin & Kuan-Yi Chiang & Ming-Chih Lee & Yen-Hsien Lee, 2021. "The Cross-Border Price Discovery and the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 11(3), pages 1-2.
    19. Ricardo de Medeiros Carneiro & Pedro Rossi & Guilherme Santos Mello & Marcos Vinicius Chiliatto-Leite, 2015. "The Fourth Dimension," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 47(4), pages 641-662, December.
    20. Mensi, Walid & Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2021. "Price-switching spillovers between gold, oil, and stock markets: Evidence from the USA and China during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    21. Ho, Kin-Yip & Shi, Yanlin & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2018. "Public information arrival, price discovery and dynamic correlations in the Chinese renminbi markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 168-186.

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