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Asymmetric impacts of oil price shocks on government expenditures: Evidence from Saudi Arabia

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  • Hany Abdel-Latif
  • Rehab A. Osman
  • Heba Ahmed

Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of oil price shocks on government expenditures on the health and education sectors in Saudi Arabia. Using a quarterly dataset 1990Q1–2017Q2 and employing a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model, our research shows evidence of a non-linear relationship between oil prices and government expenditures in Saudi Arabia, where a negative oil price shock would have a statistically significant different impact in the long run compared to a positive shock. We build upon our empirical findings and draw some policy recommendations for Vision 2030 of Saudi Arabia.

Suggested Citation

  • Hany Abdel-Latif & Rehab A. Osman & Heba Ahmed, 2018. "Asymmetric impacts of oil price shocks on government expenditures: Evidence from Saudi Arabia," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1512835-151, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:6:y:2018:i:1:p:1512835
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2018.1512835
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    Cited by:

    1. Adrian Neacsa & Jianu Daniel Muresan & Marian Catalin Voica & Otilia Manta & Mihail Vincentiu Ivan, 2023. "Oil Price—A Sensor for the Performance of Romanian Oil Manufacturing Companies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Seyfettin Erdo an & Emrah smail evik & Ayfer Gedikli, 2020. "Healthcare Expenditures Channel of Natural Resource Curse: The Case of Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 285-293.
    3. Anthony Enisan Akinlo & Michael Segun Ojo, 2021. "Examining the asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on remittances inflows: evidence from Nigeria," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(10), pages 1-16, October.
    4. Sugra Humbatova & Afag Huseyn & Natig Gadim-Oglu Hajiyev, 2023. "Impact of Oil Factor on Investment: The Case of Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 129-148, March.
    5. Hany Abdel‐Latif & Mahmoud El‐Gamal, 2022. "White elephants on quicksand: Low oil prices and high geopolitical risk," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(1), pages 60-107, February.
    6. Nurudeen Abu & Joseph David & Musa Abdullahi Sakanko & Ben-Obi Onyewuchi Amaechi, 2022. "Oil Price and Public Expenditure Relationship in Nigeria: Does the Level of Corruption Matter?," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 59-80.
    7. Sanusi Yakubu Muhammad & Isah Auwal & Bello Abdulmajeed Kumo & Yusuf Fadimah, 2023. "Oil Price and Stock Market Nexus in Nigeria: An Asymmetric Cointegration Based on Non-Linear Ardl Approach," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(11), pages 573-591, November.
    8. Anis Ali, 2021. "Do Oil Prices Govern GDP and Public Spending Avenues in Saudi Arabia? Sensitivity and Trend Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(2), pages 104-109.
    9. Abdul Rahman Shaik & Anis Ali & Ibtisam Dhuwayhi Alanazi, 2023. "Working Capital and Financial Performance in the Energy Sector of Saudi Arabia: Moderating Role of Leverage," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 158-163, May.
    10. Md Fouad Bin Amin & Mohd Ziaur Rehman, 2022. "Asymmetric Linkages of Oil Prices, Money Supply, and TASI on Sectoral Stock Prices in Saudi Arabia: A Non-Linear ARDL Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
    11. Engy Raouf, 2021. "Oil Prices Shocks and Government Expenditure," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 78-84.
    12. Anis Ali, 2021. "Volatility of Oil Prices and Public Spending in Saudi Arabia: Sensitivity and Trend Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 165-172.
    13. Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi Al khatib & Bayan Mohamad Alshaib & Ali Mohamad Kanaan, 2023. "The Interaction Between Financial Development and Economic Growth: A Novel Application of Transfer Entropy and Nonlinear Approach in Algeria," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.

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