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Estimation of Impulse Response Functions When Shocks Are Observed at a Higher Frequency Than Outcome Variables

Author

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  • Alexander Chudik
  • Georgios Georgiadis

Abstract

This article proposes mixed-frequency distributed-lag (MFDL) estimators of impulse response functions in a setup where (i) the shock of interest is observed, (ii) the impact variable of interest is observed at a lower frequency (as a temporally aggregated or sequentially sampled variable), (iii) the data generating process (DGP) is given by a VAR model at the frequency of the shock, and (iv) the full set of relevant endogenous variables entering the DGP is unknown or unobserved. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed MFDL estimators is established, and their small-sample performance is documented by a set of Monte Carlo experiments. The usefulness of MFDL estimator is then illustrated in three empirical applications: (i) the daily pass-through of shocks to crude oil prices observed at the daily frequency to U.S. gasoline consumer prices observed at the weekly frequency, (ii) the impact of shocks to global investors’ risk appetite on global capital flows, and (iii) the impact of monetary policy shocks on real activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Chudik & Georgios Georgiadis, 2022. "Estimation of Impulse Response Functions When Shocks Are Observed at a Higher Frequency Than Outcome Variables," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 965-979, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:40:y:2022:i:3:p:965-979
    DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2021.1889567
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    Cited by:

    1. Vatsa, Puneet & Pino, Gabriel, 2024. "Do petrol prices affect inflation and inflation expectations? Evidence from New Zealand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 65-95, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    3. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2021. "The real effects of financial uncertainty shocks: A daily identification approach," Working Papers 61, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    4. Shioji, Etsuro, 2021. "Pass-through of oil supply shocks to domestic gasoline prices: evidence from daily data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    5. Patozi, A., 2023. "Green Transmission: Monetary Policy in the Age of ESG," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2311, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    6. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Gazzani, Andrea & Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2023. "Are the effects of uncertainty shocks big or small?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    7. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2023. "Oil Price Shocks and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 18416, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    8. Chudik, Alexander & Kilian, Lutz, 2026. "Mean Group and Pooled Mixed-Frequency Estimators of Responses of Low-Frequency Variables to High-Frequency Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 21162, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    9. Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2020. "Bridge Proxy-SVAR: estimating the macroeconomic effects of shocks identified at high-frequency," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1274, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Gareth Anderson & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, 2020. "Crossing the credit channel: credit spreads and firm heterogeneity," Bank of England working papers 854, Bank of England.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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