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Joint analysis of nonlinear heterogeneous longitudinal data and binary outcome: an application to AIDS clinical studies

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  • Xiaosun Lu
  • Yangxin Huang
  • Rong Zhou

Abstract

Finite mixture models are currently used to analyze heterogeneous longitudinal data. By releasing the homogeneity restriction of nonlinear mixed-effects (NLME) models, finite mixture models not only can estimate model parameters but also cluster individuals into one of the pre-specified classes with class membership probabilities. This clustering may have clinical significance, which might be associated with a clinically important binary outcome. This article develops a joint modeling of a finite mixture of NLME models for longitudinal data in the presence of covariate measurement errors and a logistic regression for a binary outcome, linked by individual latent class indicators, under a Bayesian framework. Simulation studies are conducted to assess the performance of the proposed joint model and a naive two-step model, in which finite mixture model and logistic regression are fitted separately, followed by an application to a real data set from an AIDS clinical trial, in which the viral dynamics and dichotomized time to the first decline of CD4/CD8 ratio are analyzed jointly.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaosun Lu & Yangxin Huang & Rong Zhou, 2016. "Joint analysis of nonlinear heterogeneous longitudinal data and binary outcome: an application to AIDS clinical studies," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(15), pages 2713-2728, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:43:y:2016:i:15:p:2713-2728
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2016.1142951
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lu, Xiaosun & Huang, Yangxin & Zhu, Yiliang, 2016. "Finite mixture of nonlinear mixed-effects joint models in the presence of missing and mismeasured covariate, with application to AIDS studies," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 119-130.
    2. Bengt Muthén & Kerby Shedden, 1999. "Finite Mixture Modeling with Mixture Outcomes Using the EM Algorithm," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 463-469, June.
    3. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    4. Wu L., 2002. "A Joint Model for Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Models With Censoring and Covariates Measured With Error, With Application to AIDS Studies," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 955-964, December.
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