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The effectiveness of coach turnover and the effect on home team advantage, team quality and team ranking

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  • Anne-Line Balduck
  • Anita Prinzie
  • Marc Buelens

Abstract

The effectiveness of coach turnover on team performance is widely discussed in the literature due to the indirect impact of a team's performance on a club's revenues. This study examines the effect of coach turnover within a competition season by focusing on the change in team quality and the change in home team advantage under the new coach. The change in team quality or home team advantage can vary according to the team (team specific) or might be an independent quantity (non-team specific). We estimated nine possible regression models, given no change, team-specific change and non-team-specific change in quality or home team advantage. The data are the match results of Belgian male soccer teams playing in the highest national division during seven seasons. Results point to a team-specific effect of a new coach on a team's quality. This article further contributes by evaluating the new coach's success with regard to whether his ability to improve team quality also results in a better position of the team in the final ranking. A new coach will be able to improve the ranking of the team if the improved team quality under the new coach renders a positive team quality.

Suggested Citation

  • Anne-Line Balduck & Anita Prinzie & Marc Buelens, 2010. "The effectiveness of coach turnover and the effect on home team advantage, team quality and team ranking," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 679-689.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:37:y:2010:i:4:p:679-689
    DOI: 10.1080/02664760902824731
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    Cited by:

    1. Luc Arrondel & Richard Duhautois & Cédric Zimmer, 2020. "Within-season dismissals of football managers: evidence from the French Ligue 1," Working Papers halshs-02505315, HAL.
    2. Janina Kleinknecht & Daniel Würtenberger, 2022. "Information effects of managerial turnover on effort and performance: Evidence from the German Bundesliga," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 791-812, April.
    3. Besters, Lucas, 2018. "Economics of professional football," Other publications TiSEM d9e6b9b7-a17b-4665-9cca-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Lucas M. Besters & Jan C. Ours & Martin A. Tuijl, 2016. "Effectiveness of In-Season Manager Changes in English Premier League Football," De Economist, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 335-356, September.
    5. M. A. Roach, 2013. "Mean reversion or a breath of fresh air? The effect of NFL coaching changes on team performance in the salary cap era," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(17), pages 1553-1556, November.
    6. Stijn Baert & Simon Amez, 2018. "No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(3), pages 1-17, March.

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