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Sources of fluctuations in exchange rates: a structural VAR analysis

Author

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  • Nicos Apergis
  • Costas Karfakis

Abstract

Structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) techniques are used to identify the sources of fluctuations in nominal and real exchange rates of the Greek drachma. The results indicate that, in most cases, supply shocks are the dominant sources of exchange rate volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicos Apergis & Costas Karfakis, 1996. "Sources of fluctuations in exchange rates: a structural VAR analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(4), pages 251-254.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:251-254
    DOI: 10.1080/758520874
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    2. Perron, Pierre, 1988. "Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series : Further evidence from a new approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 297-332.
    3. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    4. Phillips, P C B, 1987. "Time Series Regression with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 277-301, March.
    5. Bernanke, Ben S., 1986. "Alternative explanations of the money-income correlation," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 49-99, January.
    6. Richard H. Clarida & Jordi Gali, 1994. "Sources of real exchange rate fluctuations: how important are nominal shocks?," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Apr.
    7. Robert Engle & Clive Granger, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    8. Lastrapes, William D, 1992. "Sources of Fluctuations in Real and Nominal Exchange Rates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(3), pages 530-539, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Haluk Erlat & Guzin Erlat, 1998. "Some methodological comments on 'Sources of fluctuations in exchange rates: a structural VAR analysis' by N. Apergis and C. Karfakis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 269-270.
    2. Haluk Erlat & Guzin Erlat, 1998. "Permanent and transitory shocks on real and nominal exchange rates in Turkey during the post-1980 period," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(4), pages 379-396, December.
    3. Saswat Patra & Kunjana Malik, 2025. "Can oil be used as an alternate asset for investment? Unveiling new insights using the NARDL model incorporating structural breaks," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 65(2), pages 1786-1810, June.

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