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Climate Change and Hydrologic Models: A Review of Existing Gaps and Recent Research Developments

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  • Chong-yu Xu

Abstract

Global atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs) have been developed to simulate the present climate and used to predict future climatic change. While GCMs demonstrate significant skill at the continental and hemispheric spatial scales and incorporate a large proportion of the complexity of the global system, they are inherently unable to represent local subgrid-scale features and dynamics. The existing gap and the methodologies for narrowing the gap between GCMs' ability and the need of hydrological modelers are reviewed in this paper. Following the discussion of the advantages and deficiencies of various methods, the challenges for future studies of the hydrological impacts of climate change are identified. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1999

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  • Chong-yu Xu, 1999. "Climate Change and Hydrologic Models: A Review of Existing Gaps and Recent Research Developments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 13(5), pages 369-382, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:13:y:1999:i:5:p:369-382
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1008190900459
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    1. C.-Y. Xu & V. Singh, 1998. "A Review on Monthly Water Balance Models for Water Resources Investigations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 12(1), pages 20-50, February.
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    2. Paul Block & Kenneth Strzepek, 2011. "Power Ahead: Meeting Ethiopia's Energy Needs Under a Changing Climate," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2011-090, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
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    6. Paul Block & Kenneth Strzepek, 2012. "Power Ahead: Meeting Ethiopia's Energy Needs Under a Changing Climate," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 476-488, August.
    7. Mohsen Nasseri & Banafsheh Zahraie & Ardalan Tootchi, 2019. "Spatial Scale Resolution of Prognostic Hydrological Models: Simulation Performance and Application in Climate Change Impact Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(1), pages 189-205, January.
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    11. Jan Niel & E. Uytven & P. Willems, 2019. "Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change Impact on River Flow Extremes Based on a Large Multi-Model Ensemble," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(12), pages 4319-4333, September.
    12. Manohar Arora & Pratap Singh & N. Goel & R. Singh, 2008. "Climate Variability Influences on Hydrological Responses of a Large Himalayan Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(10), pages 1461-1475, October.
    13. N. Amraoui & M. A. Sbai & P. Stollsteiner, 2019. "Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in the Somme River Basin (France)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(6), pages 2073-2092, April.
    14. Dhruvesh Patel & Prashant Srivastava, 2013. "Flood Hazards Mitigation Analysis Using Remote Sensing and GIS: Correspondence with Town Planning Scheme," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2353-2368, May.
    15. Axel Bronstert, 2003. "Floods and Climate Change: Interactions and Impacts," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(3), pages 545-557, June.
    16. Ling Zhang & Zhuotong Nan & Wenjun Yu & Yingchun Ge, 2015. "Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Change and Hydrological Responses under Consistent Climate Change Scenarios in the Heihe River Basin, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(13), pages 4701-4717, October.
    17. Jew Das & Nanduri V. Umamahesh, 2016. "Downscaling Monsoon Rainfall over River Godavari Basin under Different Climate-Change Scenarios," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(15), pages 5575-5587, December.
    18. Sajjad Eghdamirad & Fiona Johnson & Ashish Sharma, 2017. "How reliable are GCM simulations for different atmospheric variables?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(1), pages 237-248, November.
    19. Muhammad Mohsin Waqas & Syed Hamid Hussain Shah & Usman Khalid Awan & Muhammad Waseem & Ishfaq Ahmad & Muhammad Fahad & Yasir Niaz & Sikandar Ali, 2020. "Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on Water Productivity of Maize in the Semi-Arid Environment of Punjab, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-14, May.
    20. Adham, Ammar & Wesseling, Jan G. & Abed, Rasha & Riksen, Michel & Ouessar, Mohamed & Ritsema, Coen J., 2019. "Assessing the impact of climate change on rainwater harvesting in the Oum Zessar watershed in Southeastern Tunisia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 131-140.
    21. Subimal Ghosh & Sudhir Katkar, 2012. "Modeling Uncertainty Resulting from Multiple Downscaling Methods in Assessing Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(12), pages 3559-3579, September.
    22. Daniela D’Agostino & Alessandra Scardigno & Nicola Lamaddalena & Daniel Chami, 2014. "Sensitivity Analysis of Coupled Hydro-Economic Models: Quantifying Climate Change Uncertainty for Decision-Making," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(12), pages 4303-4318, September.
    23. Block, Paul, 2011. "Power Ahead: Meeting Ethiopiaâ..s Energy Needs under a Changing Climate," WIDER Working Paper Series 090, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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