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Using the Multiactor-Approach in G lowa-Danube to Simulate Decisions for the Water Supply Sector Under Conditions of Global Climate Change

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  • Roland Barthel
  • Stephan Janisch
  • Darla Nickel
  • Aleksandar Trifkovic
  • Thomas Hörhan

Abstract

G lowa-Danube ( www.glowa-danube.de ) is an interdisciplinary project that aims to develop integrated strategies and tools for water and land use management in the upper Danube catchment (Germany, Austria ∼77,000 km 2 ). The project is one of five within the G lowa research program ( www.glowa.org ) dealing with Global Change effects on the water cycle in six meso-scale catchments (up to 100,000 km 2 ) in Central Europe, West Africa and the Middle East. In the G lowa-Danube project, 16 natural science and socio-economic simulation models are integrated in the coupled simulation system D anubia. This article describes the underlying concept and implementation of WaterSupply, a multiactor-based model of the water supply sector with a focus on water resource utilization and distribution of individual water supply companies. Within D anubia, WaterSupply represents the link between water supply and demand, where the former is simulated by a groundwater and a surface water model and the latter by water consumption models of four different sectors (domestic, industrial, agricultural and tourism). WaterSupply interprets the quantitative state of water resources for defined spatial and temporal units according to sustainability requirements and assesses the state of resources in relation to present water supply schemes and the dynamics of user demand. WaterSupply then seeks both to optimize the resource use of supply companies and to identify critical regions for which further adaptation of the water supply scheme will become necessary under changing climatic conditions. In this article, a brief description of the G lowa-Danube project and the integrated simulation system D anubia is followed by a short presentation of the D eepA ctor framework, which provides a common conceptual and technical basis for the socio-economic simulation models of G lowa-Danube. The main body of the article is devoted to the concept, the implementation and simulation results of WaterSupply. Results from different scenario calculations demonstrate the capabilities and the potential fields of application of the model. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Roland Barthel & Stephan Janisch & Darla Nickel & Aleksandar Trifkovic & Thomas Hörhan, 2010. "Using the Multiactor-Approach in G lowa-Danube to Simulate Decisions for the Water Supply Sector Under Conditions of Global Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(2), pages 239-275, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:2:p:239-275
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9445-y
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    1. Anja Soboll & Michael Elbers & Roland Barthel & Juergen Schmude & Andreas Ernst & Ralf Ziller, 2011. "Integrated regional modelling and scenario development to evaluate future water demand under global change conditions," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 477-498, April.
    2. Masih Akhbari & Neil Grigg, 2013. "A Framework for an Agent-Based Model to Manage Water Resources Conflicts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(11), pages 4039-4052, September.
    3. Davy Vanham & Stefanie Millinger & Harald Pliessnig & Wolfgang Rauch, 2011. "Rasterised Water Demands: Methodology for Their Assessment and Possible Applications," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3301-3320, October.
    4. Noora Veijalainen & Tanja Dubrovin & Mika Marttunen & Bertel Vehviläinen, 2010. "Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources and Lake Regulation in the Vuoksi Watershed in Finland," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(13), pages 3437-3459, October.
    5. Masih Akhbari & Neil Grigg, 2015. "Managing Water Resources Conflicts: Modelling Behavior in a Decision Tool," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5201-5216, November.
    6. Jeßberger Christoph & Sindram Maximilian & Zimmer Markus, 2011. "Global Warming Induced Water-Cycle Changes and Industrial Production – A Scenario Analysis for the Upper Danube River Basin," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(3), pages 415-439, June.
    7. D. González-Zeas & L. Garrote & A. Iglesias & A. Granados & A. Chávez-Jiménez, 2015. "Hydrologic Determinants of Climate Change Impacts on Regulated Water Resources Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(6), pages 1933-1947, April.
    8. Kebai Li & Tianyi Ma & Guo Wei & Yuqian Zhang & Xueyan Feng, 2019. "Urban Industrial Water Supply and Demand: System Dynamic Model and Simulation Based on Cobb–Douglas Function," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-18, October.
    9. Anja Berghammer & Jürgen Schmude, 2014. "The Christmas—Easter Shift: Simulating Alpine Ski Resorts' Future Development under Climate Change Conditions Using the Parameter ‘Optimal Ski Day’," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(2), pages 323-336, April.
    10. Roland Barthel & Tim Reichenau & Tatjana Krimly & Stephan Dabbert & Karl Schneider & Wolfram Mauser, 2012. "Integrated Modeling of Global Change Impacts on Agriculture and Groundwater Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(7), pages 1929-1951, May.
    11. Peter Kreins & Martin Henseler & Jano Anter & Frank Herrmann & Frank Wendland, 2015. "Quantification of Climate Change Impact on Regional Agricultural Irrigation and Groundwater Demand," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3585-3600, August.

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