IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v120y2024i6d10.1007_s11069-024-06430-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessment of spatial–temporal variation of precipitation and meteorological drought in Shanxi province, China

Author

Listed:
  • Ting Wei

    (Taiyuan University of Technology)

  • Xuehua Zhao

    (Taiyuan University of Technology)

Abstract

In this study, the spatial and temporal characteristics of rainfall and the risk of meteorological drought based on precipitation data observed in 22 meteorological stations over the period 1961 to 2020 in Shanxi province were analyzed. Four precipitation indices and modified Mann–Kendall test were used to analyze the patterns and trends of precipitation. Furthermore, the risk analysis for drought duration and severity of meteorological drought were analyzed with entropy copula. Results showed that the precipitation distribution is irregular and precipitation in central northern parts of Shanxi is more concentrated than that in southern Shanxi. The annual and seasonal precipitation concentration showed no significant change in most stations, while the daily precipitation concentration decreased in a few areas. Results also disclose that the number of droughts (which SPI3 values are less than 0) ranged from 61 to 80 during 1961–2020 and Shanxi tends to dry. The most severe drought event with the longest duration (27 months) and the largest severity (29.7) occurred at station 53,775. The entropy copula is suitable for drought frequency analysis and return period calculation and results indicate that the middle and northern parts of Shanxi are at high risk of drought according to the entropy copula calculated joint return period.

Suggested Citation

  • Ting Wei & Xuehua Zhao, 2024. "Assessment of spatial–temporal variation of precipitation and meteorological drought in Shanxi province, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(6), pages 5579-5599, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06430-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06430-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-024-06430-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-024-06430-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dong-Dong Zhang & Deng-Hua Yan & Fan Lu & Yi-Cheng Wang & Jing Feng, 2015. "Copula-based risk assessment of drought in Yunnan province, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(3), pages 2199-2220, February.
    2. Veysel Gumus & Oguz Simsek & Yavuz Avsaroglu & Berivan Agun, 2021. "Spatio‐temporal trend analysis of drought in the GAP Region, Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(2), pages 1759-1776, November.
    3. Elaheh Motevali Bashi Naeini & Ali Mohammad Akhoond-Ali & Fereydoun Radmanesh & Jahangir Abedi Koupai & Shahrokh Soltaninia, 2021. "Comparison of the Calculated Drought Return Periods Using Tri-variate and Bivariate Copula Functions Under Climate Change Condition," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(14), pages 4855-4875, November.
    4. Chun-Ling Liu & Qiang Zhang & Vijay Singh & Ying Cui, 2011. "Copula-based evaluations of drought variations in Guangdong, South China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(3), pages 1533-1546, December.
    5. Shengzhi Huang & Jianxia Chang & Qiang Huang & Yutong Chen, 2014. "Spatio-temporal Changes and Frequency Analysis of Drought in the Wei River Basin, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(10), pages 3095-3110, August.
    6. Xue Feng & Amilcare Porporato & Ignacio Rodriguez-Iturbe, 2013. "Changes in rainfall seasonality in the tropics," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 811-815, September.
    7. Richarde Silva & Celso Santos & Madalena Moreira & João Corte-Real & Valeriano Silva & Isabella Medeiros, 2015. "Rainfall and river flow trends using Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope estimator statistical tests in the Cobres River basin," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(2), pages 1205-1221, June.
    8. Rengui Jiang & Jiancang Xie & Hailong He & Jungang Luo & Jiwei Zhu, 2015. "Use of four drought indices for evaluating drought characteristics under climate change in Shaanxi, China: 1951–2012," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(3), pages 2885-2903, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhen Liu & Xiaodan Li & Haoyu Tao & Qi Yang & Zhiping Liu & Jing Li, 2025. "Synergistic Evolution Characteristics and Driving Factors of High-Quality Economic Development and Green Space Ecological Benefits at Multiple Spatial Scales: Evidence from Shanxi Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-46, April.
    2. Junfei Chen & Wentong Yang & Wenjie Gong & Xinyu Liu, 2025. "Electricity supply research for ensuring food security in North China during droughts and floods: copula modeling for the water-energy-food nexus," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(4), pages 4265-4291, March.
    3. Pedro H. L. Alencar & Eva N. Paton, 2025. "Which droughts are becoming more frequent? A copula entropy analysis on the return period of droughts in Europe," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(1), pages 543-565, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xiong-Fei Liu & Shi-Xin Wang & Yi Zhou & Fu-Tao Wang & Guang Yang & Wen-Liang Liu, 2016. "Spatial analysis of meteorological drought return periods in China using Copulas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(1), pages 367-388, January.
    2. Dai, Meng & Huang, Shengzhi & Huang, Qiang & Leng, Guoyong & Guo, Yi & Wang, Lu & Fang, Wei & Li, Pei & Zheng, Xudong, 2020. "Assessing agricultural drought risk and its dynamic evolution characteristics," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    3. Xiong-Fei Liu & Shi-Xin Wang & Yi Zhou & Fu-Tao Wang & Guang Yang & Wen-Liang Liu, 2016. "Spatial analysis of meteorological drought return periods in China using Copulas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(1), pages 367-388, January.
    4. Ruqing Zhang & Lu Li & Ye Zhang & Feini Huang & Jianduo Li & Wei Liu & Taoning Mao & Zili Xiong & Wei Shangguan, 2021. "Assessment of Agricultural Drought Using Soil Water Deficit Index Based on ERA5-Land Soil Moisture Data in Four Southern Provinces of China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-19, May.
    5. Ming Li & Guiwen Wang & Shengwei Zong & Xurong Chai, 2023. "Copula-Based Assessment and Regionalization of Drought Risk in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-16, February.
    6. Fatih Tosunoglu & Ibrahim Can, 2016. "Application of copulas for regional bivariate frequency analysis of meteorological droughts in Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1457-1477, July.
    7. Bing-Chen Jhong & Jung Huang & Ching-Pin Tung, 2019. "Spatial Assessment of Climate Risk for Investigating Climate Adaptation Strategies by Evaluating Spatial-Temporal Variability of Extreme Precipitation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(10), pages 3377-3400, August.
    8. Rong Gan & Shuqian Gu & Xiaoxia Tong & Jinqiang Lu & Hui Tang, 2024. "A nonparametric standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrological drought in the Shaying River Basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(3), pages 2233-2253, February.
    9. Zahra Sadat Hosseini & Mahnoosh Moghaddasi & Shahla Paimozd, 2023. "Simultaneous Monitoring of Different Drought Types Using Linear and Nonlinear Combination Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(3), pages 1125-1151, February.
    10. Huang, Shengzhi & Huang, Qiang & Chang, Jianxia & Leng, Guoyong & Xing, Li, 2015. "The response of agricultural drought to meteorological drought and the influencing factors: A case study in the Wei River Basin, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 45-54.
    11. Konstantinos Spiliotis & Konstantinos Voudouris & Harris Vangelis & Mike Spiliotis, 2025. "Analysis of Annual Drought Episodes Using Complex Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-17, February.
    12. Rui Zhang & Taotao Chen & Daocai Chi, 2020. "Global Sensitivity Analysis of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index at Different Time Scales in Jilin Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-19, February.
    13. Liang, Kaiming & Zhong, Xuhua & Huang, Nongrong & Lampayan, Rubenito M. & Pan, Junfeng & Tian, Ka & Liu, Yanzhuo, 2016. "Grain yield, water productivity and CH4 emission of irrigated rice in response to water management in south China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 319-331.
    14. Mohammad Nazeri Tahroudi & Yousef Ramezani & Carlo De Michele & Rasoul Mirabbasi, 2020. "A New Method for Joint Frequency Analysis of Modified Precipitation Anomaly Percentage and Streamflow Drought Index Based on the Conditional Density of Copula Functions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(13), pages 4217-4231, October.
    15. Feng Gao & Yuhu Zhang & Xiulin Ren & Yunjun Yao & Zengchao Hao & Wanyuan Cai, 2018. "Evaluation of CHIRPS and its application for drought monitoring over the Haihe River Basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(1), pages 155-172, May.
    16. Rina Wu & Jiquan Zhang & Yuhai Bao & Enliang Guo, 2019. "Run Theory and Copula-Based Drought Risk Analysis for Songnen Grassland in Northeastern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-17, October.
    17. V. Savo & K. E. Kohfeld & J. Sillmann & C. Morton & J. Bailey & A. S. Haslerud & C. Le Quéré & D. Lepofsky, 2024. "Using human observations with instrument-based metrics to understand changing rainfall patterns," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    18. Monzur A. Imteaz & Mohammad S. Khan & Abdullah G. Yilmaz & Abdallah Shanableh, 2023. "Climate Change Impacts on Rainwater Tank’s Potential Water Savings, Efficiency and Reliability Presenting Relationship Between ‘Seasonality Index’ and Water Savings Efficiency," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(11), pages 4345-4361, September.
    19. Anwar Hussain & Masoud Reihanifar & Rizwan Niaz & Olayan Albalawi & Mohsen Maghrebi & Abdelkader T. Ahmed & Ali Danandeh Mehr, 2024. "Characterizing Inter-Seasonal Meteorological Drought Using Random Effect Logistic Regression," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-20, September.
    20. Dilayda Soylu Pekpostalci & Rifat Tur & Ali Danandeh Mehr & Mohammad Amin Vazifekhah Ghaffari & Dominika Dąbrowska & Vahid Nourani, 2023. "Drought Monitoring and Forecasting across Turkey: A Contemporary Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-23, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06430-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.