IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v115y2023i1d10.1007_s11069-022-05577-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The severity of heat and cold waves amplified by high relative humidity in humid subtropical basins: a case study in the Gan River Basin, China

Author

Listed:
  • Yuqing Zhang

    (Huaiyin Normal University)

  • Changchun Chen

    (Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology)

  • Yun Niu

    (Huaiyin Normal University)

  • Liucheng Shen

    (Shanghai Normal University)

  • Wenyuan Wang

    (Huaiyin Normal University)

Abstract

High relative humidity (RH) and temperature extremes can occur simultaneously and persist for periods of time, resulting in serious harm to human health, especially in humid regions. Here, in the case of the Gan River Basin, we used air temperature and RH from the observed and ERA5 reanalysis datasets to construct the apparent temperature and investigate the characteristics of heat and cold waves. Heat waves showed the increasing trends from 1961 to 2018 (particularly from 1997 to 2018), whereas during the same period, cold waves showed the significant decreasing trends. In general, ERA5 reasonably reflected the spatiotemporal characteristics of heat and cold waves, and the ability to simulate cold waves was slightly greater than that of heat waves. The amplifying effect of high RH on heat waves was significantly greater than on cold waves. The increasing rates of heat waves in ERA5 at the mild, moderate, and severe grades were slightly greater than the observations. Cold waves at various grades showed significant downward trends, and the decreasing rates of cold waves in the observations were slightly greater than those in ERA5. Using an analysis of the return period (occurrence probability), traditional univariate risk assessment methods based on maximum or minimum temperature may substantially underestimate the risk of extreme events, such as the 2014 heat wave and the 1969 cold wave, because the effects of RH were ignored.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuqing Zhang & Changchun Chen & Yun Niu & Liucheng Shen & Wenyuan Wang, 2023. "The severity of heat and cold waves amplified by high relative humidity in humid subtropical basins: a case study in the Gan River Basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(1), pages 865-898, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:115:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05577-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05577-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-022-05577-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-022-05577-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jun Wang & Yang Chen & Simon F. B. Tett & Zhongwei Yan & Panmao Zhai & Jinming Feng & Jiangjiang Xia, 2020. "Anthropogenically-driven increases in the risks of summertime compound hot extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Wei Liu & Si-yu Huang & Dan Li & Chong-yang Wang & Xia Zhou & Shui-sen Chen, 2015. "Spatiotemporal computing of cold wave characteristic in recent 52 years: a case study in Guangdong Province, South China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(2), pages 1257-1274, November.
    3. E. M. Fischer & R. Knutti, 2013. "Robust projections of combined humidity and temperature extremes," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(2), pages 126-130, February.
    4. Nathaniel C. Johnson & Shang-Ping Xie & Yu Kosaka & Xichen Li, 2018. "Increasing occurrence of cold and warm extremes during the recent global warming slowdown," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Makarov, I. & Chernokulsky, A., 2023. "Impacts of climate change on the Russian economy: Ranking of regions by adaptation needs," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 61(4), pages 145-202.
    2. Xing Zhang & Tianjun Zhou & Wenxia Zhang & Liwen Ren & Jie Jiang & Shuai Hu & Meng Zuo & Lixia Zhang & Wenmin Man, 2023. "Increased impact of heat domes on 2021-like heat extremes in North America under global warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. H. Pallubinsky & R. P. Kramer & W. D. Marken Lichtenbelt, 2023. "Establishing resilience in times of climate change—a perspective on humans and buildings," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(10), pages 1-19, October.
    4. Martin T. Dokulil & Elvira Eyto & Stephen C. Maberly & Linda May & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2021. "Increasing maximum lake surface temperature under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-17, April.
    5. Kairui Feng & Min Ouyang & Ning Lin, 2022. "Tropical cyclone-blackout-heatwave compound hazard resilience in a changing climate," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Sabrina Katharina Beckmann & Michael Hiete & Michael Schneider & Christoph Beck, 2021. "Heat adaptation measures in private households: an application and adaptation of the protective action decision model," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.
    7. Yu Yueyue & Yang Wenwen & Zhang Lingli & Guan Zhaoyong & Yang Qinlan & Hu Muxin & Qiu Wentian & Wang Jingyi, 2023. "Region-dependent meteorological conditions for the winter cold hazards with and without precipitation in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(3), pages 2673-2698, February.
    8. Mi-Kyung Sung & Soon-Il An & Jongsoo Shin & Jae-Heung Park & Young-Min Yang & Hyo-Jeong Kim & Minhee Chang, 2023. "Ocean fronts as decadal thermostats modulating continental warming hiatus," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    9. Audrey Brouillet & Sylvie Joussaume, 2020. "More perceived but not faster evolution of heat stress than temperature extremes in the future," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 527-544, September.
    10. Charles D. Kolstad & Frances C. Moore, 2019. "Estimating the Economic Impacts of Climate Change Using Weather Observations," NBER Working Papers 25537, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. A. Kay & A. Rudd & H. Davies & E. Kendon & R. Jones, 2015. "Use of very high resolution climate model data for hydrological modelling: baseline performance and future flood changes," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 193-208, November.
    12. Poppick, Andrew & McKinnon, Karen A., 2020. "Observation-based Simulations of Humidity and Temperature Using Quantile Regression," Earth Arxiv bmskp, Center for Open Science.
    13. Indrė Gečaitė & Egidijus Rimkus, 2023. "Wintertime cold and warm spells in the eastern part of the Baltic Sea region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(3), pages 2435-2456, February.
    14. Ana Casanueva & Annkatrin Burgstall & Sven Kotlarski & Alessandro Messeri & Marco Morabito & Andreas D. Flouris & Lars Nybo & Christoph Spirig & Cornelia Schwierz, 2019. "Overview of Existing Heat-Health Warning Systems in Europe," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-22, July.
    15. Thomas R. Knutson & Jeffrey J. Ploshay, 2016. "Detection of anthropogenic influence on a summertime heat stress index," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 25-39, September.
    16. Xi Chen & Ning Li & Jiawei Liu & Zhengtao Zhang & Yuan Liu, 2019. "Global Heat Wave Hazard Considering Humidity Effects during the 21st Century," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-11, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:115:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05577-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.