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Adaptation strategies for maize cultivation under climate change in Iran: irrigation and planting date management

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  • Rooholla Moradi
  • Alireza Koocheki
  • Mehdi Nassiri Mahallati
  • Hamed Mansoori

Abstract

Climate change is affecting the productivity of crops and their regional distribution. Strategies to enhance local adaptation capacity are needed to mitigate climate change impacts and to maintain regional stability of food production. The objectives of this study were to simulate the climate change effects on phenological stages, Leaf Area Index (LAI), biomass and grain yield of maize (Zea mays L.) in the future and to explore the possibilities of employing irrigation water and planting dates as adaptation strategies to decrease the climate change impacts on maize production in Khorasan Razavi province, Iran. For this purpose, we employed two types of General Circulation Models ((United Kingdom Met. Office Hadley Center: HadCM3) and (Institute Pierre Simon Laplace: IPCM4)) and three scenarios (A1B, A2 and B1). Long Ashton Research Station-Weather Generator (LARS-WG) was used to produce daily climatic parameters as one stochastic growing season for each projection period. Also, crop growth under projected climate conditions was simulated based on the Cropping System Model (CSM)-CERES-Maize. The results of model evaluation showed that LARS-WG had appropriate prediction for climatic parameters. Time period from cultivation until anthesis and maturity were reduced in majority of scenarios as affected by climate change. The results indicated that the grain yield of maize may be reduced (11 % to 38 %) as affected by climate change based on common planting date in baseline and changed (−61 % to 48 %) in response to different irrigation regimes in the future climate change, under all scenarios and times. In general, earlier planting date (1 May) and decreasing irrigation intervals in the anthesis stage (11 applications) caused higher yield compared with other planting dates due to adaption to high temperature. Based on our findings, it seems that management of irrigation water and planting dates can be beneficial for adaptation of maize to climate change in this region. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2013

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  • Rooholla Moradi & Alireza Koocheki & Mehdi Nassiri Mahallati & Hamed Mansoori, 2013. "Adaptation strategies for maize cultivation under climate change in Iran: irrigation and planting date management," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 265-284, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:masfgc:v:18:y:2013:i:2:p:265-284
    DOI: 10.1007/s11027-012-9410-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Seyyed Mahmoud Hashemi & Ali Bagheri & Nadine Marshall, 2017. "Toward sustainable adaptation to future climate change: insights from vulnerability and resilience approaches analyzing agrarian system of Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 1-25, February.
    2. Kaveh Madani, 2014. "Water management in Iran: what is causing the looming crisis?," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 315-328, December.
    3. Marine Albert & Jacques-Eric Bergez & Magali Willaume & Stéphane Couture, 2022. "Vulnerability of Maize Farming Systems to Climate Change: Farmers’ Opinions Differ about the Relevance of Adaptation Strategies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-23, July.
    4. Nunes, H.G.G.C. & Farias, V.D.S. & Sousa, D.P. & Costa, D.L.P. & Pinto, J.V.N. & Moura, V.B. & Teixeira, E.O. & Lima, M.J.A. & Ortega-Farias, S. & Souza, P.J.O.P., 2021. "Parameterization of the AquaCrop model for cowpea and assessing the impact of sowing dates normally used on yield," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    5. Ahmadi, Mojgan & Etedali, Hadi Ramezani & Elbeltagi, Ahmed, 2021. "Evaluation of the effect of climate change on maize water footprint under RCPs scenarios in Qazvin plain, Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    6. Ma, L. & Ahuja, L.R. & Islam, A. & Trout, T.J. & Saseendran, S.A. & Malone, R.W., 2017. "Modeling yield and biomass responses of maize cultivars to climate change under full and deficit irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 180(PA), pages 88-98.
    7. Dengpan Xiao & Juana Moiwo & Fulu Tao & Yonghui Yang & Yanjun Shen & Quanhong Xu & Jianfeng Liu & He Zhang & Fengshan Liu, 2015. "Spatiotemporal variability of winter wheat phenology in response to weather and climate variability in China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 20(7), pages 1191-1202, October.
    8. Nasir Mahmood & Muhammad Arshad & Harald Kaechele & Muhammad Faisal Shahzad & Ayat Ullah & Klaus Mueller, 2020. "Fatalism, Climate Resiliency Training and Farmers’ Adaptation Responses: Implications for Sustainable Rainfed-Wheat Production in Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-21, February.
    9. Sangam Shrestha & Proloy Deb & Thi Bui, 2016. "Adaptation strategies for rice cultivation under climate change in Central Vietnam," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 15-37, January.
    10. Rooholla Moradi & Alireza Koocheki & Mehdi Nassiri Mahallati, 2014. "Adaptation of maize to climate change impacts in Iran," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(8), pages 1223-1238, December.

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    Keywords

    Adaptation; DSSAT; GCM; HadCM3; IPCM4;
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