IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jecfin/v49y2025i1d10.1007_s12197-025-09708-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

When the numbers don’t add up: anomalies and inconsistencies in bitcoin prices and daily data

Author

Listed:
  • Edward Gotham

    (Feng Chia University)

Abstract

Despite Bitcoin’s immutable public ledger, many studies have poor replicability due to inconsistencies in the way data are collected and stored; furthermore, several important metrics relating to the mempool and Lightning Network must be captured in real-time, and many valuable data series have missing observations. An attempt to replicate and extend two well-cited papers is documented. This paper may also serve as a reference for relative newcomers to Bitcoin from the fields of statistics, business, and econometrics, due to its low level approach to data. Information and literature related to protocol changes, price discovery, and the computation of daily averages is summarized. Research gaps are identified; best data practices are suggested. Block-level data, computed in native units, provides a superior perspective of Bitcoin activity to daily fiat metrics. Readers benefit from an improved understanding of (i) valid approaches and data sources, (ii) some of Bitcoin’s quirks (there are many), and (iii) potential research pitfalls.

Suggested Citation

  • Edward Gotham, 2025. "When the numbers don’t add up: anomalies and inconsistencies in bitcoin prices and daily data," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(1), pages 248-282, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:49:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s12197-025-09708-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s12197-025-09708-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12197-025-09708-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s12197-025-09708-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Schilling, Linda & Uhlig, Harald, 2019. "Some simple bitcoin economics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 16-26.
    2. Pavel Ciaian & Miroslava Rajcaniova & d’Artis Kancs, 2016. "The economics of BitCoin price formation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(19), pages 1799-1815, April.
    3. Wilko Bolt & Maarten R.C. Van Oordt, 2020. "On the Value of Virtual Currencies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(4), pages 835-862, June.
    4. Joseph Abadi & Markus Brunnermeier, 2018. "Blockchain Economics," NBER Working Papers 25407, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. ., 2019. "The institutional economics of blockchain," Chapters, in: Understanding the Blockchain Economy, chapter 2, pages 15-36, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Easley, David & O'Hara, Maureen & Basu, Soumya, 2019. "From mining to markets: The evolution of bitcoin transaction fees," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 91-109.
    7. Samuel Enajero, 2021. "Cryptocurrency, Money Demand and the Mundell-Fleming Model of International Capital Mobility," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 49(1), pages 57-69, March.
    8. Adam Hayes, 2018. "Bitcoin price and its marginal cost of production: support for a fundamental value," Papers 1805.07610, arXiv.org.
    9. Collin Brown & Jonathan Chiu & Thorsten V. Koeppl, 2019. "What Drives Bitcoin Fees? Using Segwit to Assess Bitcoin's Long-run Sustainability," Working Paper 1423, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    10. Mahima Habil & Saransh Kumar Srivastav & Pooja Thakur, 2024. "Mapping the landscape of blockchain technology: a bibliometric analysis," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 1533-1553, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rodney J. Garratt & Maarten R. C. van Oordt, 2023. "Why Fixed Costs Matter for Proof-of-Work–Based Cryptocurrencies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(11), pages 6482-6507, November.
    2. Hanna Halaburda & Guillaume Haeringer & Joshua Gans & Neil Gandal, 2022. "The Microeconomics of Cryptocurrencies," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 60(3), pages 971-1013, September.
    3. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2022. "Cryptocurrency returns under empirical asset pricing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Zimmerman, Peter, 2020. "Blockchain structure and cryptocurrency prices," Bank of England working papers 855, Bank of England.
    5. Flori, Andrea, 2019. "News and subjective beliefs: A Bayesian approach to Bitcoin investments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 336-356.
    6. Auer, Raphael & Monnet, Cyril & Shin, Hyun Song, 2025. "Distributed ledgers and the governance of money," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    7. Cong, Lin William & Li, Ye & Wang, Neng, 2022. "Token-based platform finance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(3), pages 972-991.
    8. Foley, Sean & Frijns, Bart & Garel, Alexandre & Roh, Tai-Yong, 2022. "Who buys Bitcoin? The cultural determinants of Bitcoin activity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    9. Marchiori, Luca, 2021. "Monetary theory reversed: Virtual currency issuance and the inflation tax," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    10. Prince Hikouatcha & Guillaume Tchoffo & Vatis Christian Kemezang & Jules Roger Feudjo, 2024. "An insight on non-standard asset pricing: does COVID-19 matter in the crypto-asset market?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 1-30, March.
    11. Andrea Flori, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies In Finance: Review And Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-22, August.
    12. Assamoi, Vincent K. & Ekponon, Adelphe & Guo, Zihan, 2025. "Are cryptocurrencies priced in the cross-section? A portfolio approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    13. Li, Xiao & Wu, Ruoxi & Wang, Chen, 2024. "Impacts of bitcoin on monetary system: Is China's bitcoin ban necessary?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Jiang, Shangrong & Li, Yuze & Wang, Shouyang & Zhao, Lin, 2022. "Blockchain competition: The tradeoff between platform stability and efficiency," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 296(3), pages 1084-1097.
    15. Walker, Clive B., 2024. "Going mainstream: Cryptocurrency narratives in newspapers," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    16. Cynthia Weiyi Cai & Rui Xue & Bi Zhou, 2023. "Cryptocurrency puzzles: a comprehensive review and re-introduction," Journal of Accounting Literature, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(1), pages 26-50, June.
    17. Parthajit Kayal & Purnima Rohilla, 2021. "Bitcoin in the economics and finance literature: a survey," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(7), pages 1-21, July.
    18. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2023. "Female unemployment, mobile money innovations and doing business by females," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-26, December.
    19. Marco Lambrecht & Andis Sofianos & Yilong Xu, 2025. "Does Mining Fuel Bubbles? An Experimental Study on Cryptocurrency Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(3), pages 1865-1888, March.
    20. Saggese, Pietro & Belmonte, Alessandro & Dimitri, Nicola & Facchini, Angelo & Böhme, Rainer, 2023. "Arbitrageurs in the Bitcoin ecosystem: Evidence from user-level trading patterns in the Mt. Gox exchange platform," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 251-270.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; Mempool; Blockspace; Transaction fee; Auction; SegWit; Taproot;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:49:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s12197-025-09708-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.