IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/infotm/v25y2024i2d10.1007_s10799-023-00413-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Trading volume and open interest from options markets as measures of the effect of IT announcements

Author

Listed:
  • Dawei Zhang

    (Lehigh University)

  • Matthew Lyle

    (Emory University)

  • Barrie R. Nault

    (University of Calgary)

Abstract

We explore how using trading volume and open interest data on IT investment announcements from options markets provide improved information to investors relative to trading volume from stock markets. We first establish through investigating changes in trading volume and open interest in the option market, and changes in trading volume in the stock market, that IT announcements are informative to investors such that they act on the underlying securities. Second, we find that the option market captures such informativeness earlier than the stock market, and that the option market generates a greater response to information from IT announcements than the stock market. Third, the option market’s response allows us to distinguish investors’ response in the short and long terms: we find IT announcements mainly convey information about expected firm value in the short term, and less in the long term. Finally, we show that good-news IT announcements are more informative than bad-news and no-news announcements. Thus, for firms with options, using option market trading volume and open interest dominates stock market trading volume when examining the effects of IT announcements.

Suggested Citation

  • Dawei Zhang & Matthew Lyle & Barrie R. Nault, 2024. "Trading volume and open interest from options markets as measures of the effect of IT announcements," Information Technology and Management, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 113-123, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:infotm:v:25:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s10799-023-00413-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10799-023-00413-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10799-023-00413-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10799-023-00413-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jun Pan & Allen M. Poteshman, 2006. "The Information in Option Volume for Future Stock Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(3), pages 871-908.
    2. Beaver, Wh, 1968. "Information Content Of Annual Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6, pages 67-92.
    3. Sanders, Ralph W. & Zdanowicz, John S., 1992. "Target Firm Abnormal Returns and Trading Volume around the Initiation of Change in Control Transactions," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(1), pages 109-129, March.
    4. Dawei Zhang & Zhuo (June) Cheng & Hasan A. Qurban H. Mohammad & Barrie R. Nault, 2015. "Research Commentary—Information Technology Substitution Revisited," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 26(3), pages 480-495, September.
    5. Kun Shin Im & Kevin E. Dow & Varun Grover, 2001. "Research Report: A Reexamination of IT Investment and the Market Value of the Firm—An Event Study Methodology," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 12(1), pages 103-117, March.
    6. Charles Cao & Zhiwu Chen & John M. Griffin, 2005. "Informational Content of Option Volume Prior to Takeovers," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(3), pages 1073-1109, May.
    7. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:3:p:1235-1258 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Barberis, Nicholas & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert, 1998. "A model of investor sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 307-343, September.
    9. Mani Subramani & Eric Walden, 2001. "The Impact of E-Commerce Announcements on the Market Value of Firms," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 12(2), pages 135-154, June.
    10. Monique, W.M. Donders & Roy Kouwenberg & Ton, C. F. Vorst, 2000. "Options and earnings announcements: an empirical study of volatility, trading volume, open interest and liquidity," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 6(2), pages 149-171, June.
    11. Anitesh Barua & Charles H. Kriebel & Tridas Mukhopadhyay, 1995. "Information Technologies and Business Value: An Analytic and Empirical Investigation," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 6(1), pages 3-23, March.
    12. Keown, Arthur J & Pinkerton, John M, 1981. "Merger Announcements and Insider Trading Activity: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(4), pages 855-869, September.
    13. Ajinkya, Bipin B. & Jain, Prem C., 1989. "The behavior of daily stock market trading volume," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 331-359, November.
    14. Zhuo (June) Cheng & Barrie R. Nault, 2007. "Industry Level Supplier-Driven IT Spillovers," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(8), pages 1199-1216, August.
    15. Brian L. Dos Santos & Ken Peffers & David C. Mauer, 1993. "The Impact of Information Technology Investment Announcements on the Market Value of the Firm," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 4(1), pages 1-23, March.
    16. Foster, G, 1973. "Stock Market Reaction To Estimates Of Earnings Per Share By Company Officials," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(1), pages 25-37.
    17. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    18. Schachter, B, 1988. "Open Interest In Stock-Options Around Quarterly Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 353-372.
    19. Wen Jin & Joshua Livnat & Yuan Zhang, 2012. "Option Prices Leading Equity Prices: Do Option Traders Have an Information Advantage?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(2), pages 401-432, May.
    20. Paul Chwelos & Ronald Ramirez & Kenneth L. Kraemer & Nigel P. Melville, 2010. "Research Note ---Does Technological Progress Alter the Nature of Information Technology as a Production Input? New Evidence and New Results," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 21(2), pages 392-408, June.
    21. Sanjeev Dewan & Fei Ren, 2007. "Risk and Return of Information Technology Initiatives: Evidence from Electronic Commerce Announcements," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 18(4), pages 370-394, December.
    22. Erik Brynjolfsson & Lorin Hitt, 1996. "Paradox Lost? Firm-Level Evidence on the Returns to Information Systems Spending," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(4), pages 541-558, April.
    23. Arnold, Tom & Erwin, Gayle & Nail, Lance & Nixon, Terry, 2006. "Do option markets substitute for stock markets? Evidence from trading on anticipated tender offer announcements," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 247-255.
    24. Karpoff, Jonathan M, 1986. "A Theory of Trading Volume," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(5), pages 1069-1087, December.
    25. Tridas Mukhopadhyay & Surendra Rajiv & Kannan Srinivasan, 1997. "Information Technology Impact on Process Output and Quality," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(12), pages 1645-1659, December.
    26. Zhuo (June) Cheng & Barrie R. Nault, 2012. "Relative Industry Concentration and Customer-Driven IT Spillovers," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 23(2), pages 340-355, June.
    27. Ederington, Louis H. & Lee, Jae Ha, 1996. "The Creation and Resolution of Market Uncertainty: The Impact of Information Releases on Implied Volatility," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(4), pages 513-539, December.
    28. Sanjeev Dewan & Chung-ki Min, 1997. "The Substitution of Information Technology for Other Factors of Production: A Firm Level Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(12), pages 1660-1675, December.
    29. John R. Nofsinger & Brian Prucyk, 2003. "Option volume and volatility response to scheduled economic news releases," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 315-345, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Neeraj Mittal & Barrie R. Nault, 2009. "Research Note ---Investments in Information Technology: Indirect Effects and Information Technology Intensity," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 140-154, March.
    2. Vincent J. Shea & Kevin E. Dow & Alain Yee-Loong Chong & Eric W. T. Ngai, 0. "An examination of the long-term business value of investments in information technology," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-15.
    3. Vincent J. Shea & Kevin E. Dow & Alain Yee-Loong Chong & Eric W. T. Ngai, 2019. "An examination of the long-term business value of investments in information technology," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 213-227, February.
    4. Patrick Augustin & Menachem Brenner & Marti G. Subrahmanyam, 2019. "Informed Options Trading Prior to Takeover Announcements: Insider Trading?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(12), pages 5697-5720, December.
    5. Kun Shin Im & Kevin E. Dow & Varun Grover, 2001. "Research Report: A Reexamination of IT Investment and the Market Value of the Firm—An Event Study Methodology," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 12(1), pages 103-117, March.
    6. Alejandro Bernales & Thanos Verousis & Nikolaos Voukelatos & Mengyu Zhang, 2020. "What do we know about individual equity options?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 67-91, January.
    7. Avinash & T. Mallikarjunappa, 2020. "Informational Role of Open Interest and Transaction Volume of Options: A Meta-Analytic Review," FIIB Business Review, , vol. 9(4), pages 275-285, December.
    8. Narcyz Roztocki & Heinz Roland Weistroffer, 2015. "Investments in enterprise integration technology: An event study," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 659-672, June.
    9. Prasanna Tambe & Lorin M. Hitt, 2014. "Job Hopping, Information Technology Spillovers, and Productivity Growth," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(2), pages 338-355, February.
    10. Ordu, Umut & Schweizer, Denis, 2015. "Executive compensation and informed trading in acquiring firms around merger announcements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 260-280.
    11. C. José García Martín & Begoña Herrero Piqueras & Ana María Ibáñez Escribano, 2016. "The informational role of thin options markets: Empirical evidence from the Spanish case," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 43(2 Year 20), pages 233-263, December.
    12. Dawei (David) Zhang & Gang Peng & Yuliang Yao & Tyson R. Browning, 2024. "Is a College Education Still Enough? The IT-Labor Relationship with Education Level, Task Routineness, and Artificial Intelligence," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 992-1010, September.
    13. Peng Huang & Marco Ceccagnoli & Chris Forman & D.J. Wu, 2022. "IT Knowledge Spillovers, Absorptive Capacity, and Productivity: Evidence from Enterprise Software," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 33(3), pages 908-934, September.
    14. Zheng, Min & Huang, Rong & Wang, Xintong & Li, Xiaorong, 2023. "Do firms adopting cloud computing technology exhibit higher future performance? A textual analysis approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    15. Chou, Yen-Chun & Hao-Chun Chuang, Howard & Shao, Benjamin B.M., 2014. "The impacts of information technology on total factor productivity: A look at externalities and innovations," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 290-299.
    16. Spyrou, Spyros, 2011. "Are broad market shocks anticipated by investors? Evidence from major equity and index options markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 127-133, June.
    17. Dennis O. Kundisch & Neeraj Mittal & Barrie R. Nault, 2014. "Research Commentary —Using Income Accounting as the Theoretical Basis for Measuring IT Productivity," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 25(3), pages 449-467, September.
    18. Hunter, Starling David, III, 2003. "Information Technology, Organizational Learning, and the Market Value of the Firm," Working papers 4418-03, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
    19. Sung-Byung Yang & Jee-Hae Lim & Wonseok Oh & Animesh Animesh & Alain Pinsonneault, 2012. "Research Note ---Using Real Options to Investigate the Market Value of Virtual World Businesses," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 23(3-part-2), pages 1011-1029, September.
    20. Brian L. Dos Santos & Zhiqiang (Eric) Zheng & Vijay S. Mookerjee & Hongyu Chen, 2012. "Are New IT-Enabled Investment Opportunities Diminishing for Firms?," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 23(2), pages 287-305, June.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:infotm:v:25:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s10799-023-00413-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.