IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/ijoeps/v18y2024i1d10.1007_s42495-023-00129-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of the Russia–Ukraine crisis on oil and gas shares: an event study approach

Author

Listed:
  • Recep Ali Küçükçolak

    (Istanbul Commerce University)

  • Necla İlter Küçükçolak

    (Turkish Mercantile Exchange)

  • Sami Küçükoğlu

    (Istanbul Commerce University)

Abstract

In this study, the effect of the Russia–Ukraine crisis on the energy companies traded in the stock exhanges of European and Asian countries which import oil and natural gas from Russia as well as Russia’s strategic rival USA, is examined by event study method. The sample used in the research consists of the stock market data of 10 countries which are labeled as the “Oil and Gas Producers” via DataStream. The data in question consist of the stocks and major index values of 34 active energy companies, which are traded in the stock exchanges of the countries subject to the study and are among the top 5 companies with the largest market capitalization. As a result of the analysis made on the basis of each country, the shock of the tension between Russia and Ukraine turning into a hot conflict during the first event window period, caused an extreme reaction in the European and Asian stock markets, which was discussed in the study and positive abnormal returns emerged. However, the energy companies in the US stock market remained far from the environment of fear and anxiety and preserved their market activities. In the second event window period, because of Russia’s pre-announcement of natural gas sales in rubles, the stocks in the study quickly adapted this information, which was shared with the public. It was reflected to their prices and the efficiency of their markets was ensured.

Suggested Citation

  • Recep Ali Küçükçolak & Necla İlter Küçükçolak & Sami Küçükoğlu, 2024. "The impact of the Russia–Ukraine crisis on oil and gas shares: an event study approach," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 325-340, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ijoeps:v:18:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s42495-023-00129-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s42495-023-00129-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s42495-023-00129-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s42495-023-00129-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qureshi, Anum & Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran & Ashraf, Dawood, 2022. "Russia–Ukraine war and systemic risk: Who is taking the heat?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    2. Boungou, Whelsy & Yatié, Alhonita, 2022. "The impact of the Ukraine–Russia war on world stock market returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    3. Brenner, Menachem, 1979. "The Sensitivity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis to Alternative Specifications of the Market Model," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(4), pages 915-929, September.
    4. Armitage, Seth, 1995. "Event Study Methods and Evidence on Their Performance," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(1), pages 25-52, March.
    5. Namgyoo K. Park, 2004. "A guide to using event study methods in multi‐country settings," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(7), pages 655-668, July.
    6. Fama, Eugene F, et al, 1969. "The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, February.
    7. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. "Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-1617, December.
    8. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1985. "Using daily stock returns : The case of event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-31, March.
    9. Wajih Abbassi & Vineeta Kumari & Dharen Kumar Pandey, 2022. "What makes firms vulnerable to the Russia–Ukraine crisis?," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 24-39, July.
    10. Umar, Zaghum & Polat, Onur & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2022. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the connectedness of financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    11. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    12. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    13. Wajih Abbassi & Vineeta Kumari & Dharen Kumar Pandey, 2022. "What makes firms vulnerable to the Russia–Ukraine crisis?," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 24-39, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chortane, Sana Gaied & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Does the Russia-Ukraine war lead to currency asymmetries? A US dollar tale," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    2. Hassan, M Kabir & Boubaker, Sabri & Kumari, Vineeta & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Border disputes and heterogeneous sectoral returns: An event study approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    3. Kumari, Vineeta & Kumar, Gaurav & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2023. "Are the European Union stock markets vulnerable to the Russia–Ukraine war?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    4. Assaf, Rima & Gupta, Deeksha & Kumar, Rahul, 2023. "The price of war: Effect of the Russia-Ukraine war on the global financial market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    5. Monica Martinez-Blasco & Vanessa Serrano & Francesc Prior & Jordi Cuadros, 2023. "Analysis of an event study using the Fama–French five-factor model: teaching approaches including spreadsheets and the R programming language," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-34, December.
    6. Maneenop, Sakkakom & Kotcharin, Suntichai, 2020. "The impacts of COVID-19 on the global airline industry: An event study approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    7. Umar, Muhammad & Riaz, Yasir & Yousaf, Imran, 2022. "Impact of Russian-Ukraine war on clean energy, conventional energy, and metal markets: Evidence from event study approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. AitSahlia, Farid & Yoon, Joon-Hui, 2016. "Information stages in efficient markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 84-94.
    9. Furdui Călin & Șfabu Dorina Teodora, 2023. "The European Banks Under the Shock of the Russian Invasion of 2022: An Event Study Approach," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 68(1), pages 62-77, April.
    10. Rößle, Florian, 2020. "Analyse des Einflusses nationaler Nachhaltigkeits-Regelungen auf den Unternehmenswert," Junior Management Science (JUMS), Junior Management Science e. V., vol. 5(2), pages 209-222.
    11. Rommel, J. & Neuenfeldt, S. & Odening, M., 2010. "Markteffekte medienwirksamer Lebensmittelskandale – eine Ergebnisstudie," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 45, March.
    12. Truzaar Dordi & Olaf Weber, 2019. "The Impact of Divestment Announcements on the Share Price of Fossil Fuel Stocks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-20, June.
    13. Bartosz Kurek & Ireneusz Górowski, 2025. "Market supervisor monetary penalties for non‐compliance with informational requirements: Do investors care?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 2061-2079, April.
    14. Alina Sorescu & Nooshin L. Warren & Larisa Ertekin, 2017. "Event study methodology in the marketing literature: an overview," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 45(2), pages 186-207, March.
    15. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Assaf, Rima & Rai, Varun Kumar, 2023. "Did the Indian stock market sail the Russia-Ukraine storm safely?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    16. Daniel Martin Katz & Michael J Bommarito II & Tyler Soellinger & James Ming Chen, 2015. "Law on the Market? Abnormal Stock Returns and Supreme Court Decision-Making," Papers 1508.05751, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
    17. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2021. "Profiting on the Stock Market in Pandemic Times: Study of COVID-19 Effects on CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(17), pages 1-20, August.
    18. Konchitchki, Yaniv & O'Leary, Daniel E., 2011. "Event study methodologies in information systems research," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 99-115.
    19. Sadok El Ghoul & Omrane Guedhami & Sattar A. Mansi & Oumar Sy, 2023. "Event studies in international finance research," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 54(2), pages 344-364, March.
    20. Dionysia Dionysiou, 2015. "Choosing Among Alternative Long-Run Event-Study Techniques," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 158-198, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia; Ukraine crisis; Abnormal return; Event study; Oil and gas; Stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:ijoeps:v:18:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s42495-023-00129-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.