Value at risk (VaR) analysis for fat tails and long memory in returns
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1007/s40822-017-0067-z
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Bertrand Candelon & Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2011.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 314-343, Spring.
- Gilbert COLLETAZ & Christophe HURLIN & Sessi TOKPAVI, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 266, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363165, HAL.
- Candelon, B. & Colletaz, G. & Hurlin, C. & Tokpavi, S., 2009. "Backtesting value-at-risk : a GMM duration-based test," Research Memorandum 062, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Gilbert COLLETAZ & Christophe HURLIN & Sessi TOKPAVI, 2009. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 265, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Post-Print halshs-00364793, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363168, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Post-Print halshs-00364797, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363146, HAL.
- Christophe Hurlin & Gilbert Colletaz & Sessi Tokpavi & Bertrand Candelon, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Working Papers halshs-00329495, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based-Test," Post-Print halshs-00364796, HAL.
- Korkmaz, Turhan & Bostanci, Ahmet, 2011. "The Comparison of Volatility Forecasting Models in VaR Calculations and Backtesting according to Basel II: An Application on ISE 100 Index," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 2(3), pages 1-1, July.
- Gourieroux, C. & Laurent, J. P. & Scaillet, O., 2000.
"Sensitivity analysis of Values at Risk,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(3-4), pages 225-245, November.
- Gouriéroux, Christian & Laurent, J.P. & Scaillet, Olivier, 1999. "Sensitivity Analysis of Values at Risk," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2000002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), revised 00 Jan 2000.
- Christian Gourieroux & Jean-Paul Laurent & Olivier Scaillet, 2000. "Sensitivity analysis of Values at Risk," Post-Print hal-03676327, HAL.
- Christian Gourieroux & J. P. Laurent & Olivier Scaillet, 2000. "Sensitivity Analysis of Values at Risk," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0162, Econometric Society.
- C. Gourieroux & J.P. Laurent & O. Scaillet, 2000. "Sensitivity analysis of values at risk," THEMA Working Papers 2000-04, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Christian Gourieroux & Jean-Paul Laurent & Olivier Scaillet, 2000. "Sensitivity Analysis of Values at Risk," Working Papers 2000-05, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Peter Christoffersen, 2004.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 84-108.
- Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2003. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-05, CIRANO.
- Christoffersen, Peter F, 1998. "Evaluating Interval Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 841-862, November.
- Mert Ural, 2009. "Alternative Approaches for Estimating Value at Risk," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, vol. 3(2), pages 63-86.
- Theodore Syriopoulos & Michael Tsatsaronis, 2012. "Corporate Governance Mechanisms and Financial Performance: CEO Duality in Shipping Firms," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 2(1), pages 1-30, June.
- Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
- Jörg Rieger & Kirsten Rüchardt & Bodo Vogt, 2011. "Comparing High Frequency Data of Stocks that are Traded Simultaneously in the US and Germany: Simulated Versus Empirical Data," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 1(2), pages 126-142, December.
- Paul H. Kupiec, 1995. "Techniques for verifying the accuracy of risk measurement models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 95-24, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Samet Günay, 2014. "Are the Scaling Properties of Bull and Bear Markets Identical? Evidence from Oil and Gold Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-20, October.
- Bostancı, Ahmet & Korkmaz, Turhan, 2014. "Comparison of Value at Risk Calculation Models in Terms of Banks’ Capital Adequacy Ratio," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 5(3), pages 15-41, July.
- R. Cont, 2001. "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 223-236.
- Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015.
"The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Benoit Mandelbrot, 1963. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36, pages 394-394.
- Benoit B. Mandelbrot, 1972. "Statistical Methodology for Nonperiodic Cycles: From the Covariance To R/S Analysis," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 1, number 3, pages 259-290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Slim, Skander & Koubaa, Yosra & BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2017. "Value-at-Risk under Lévy GARCH models: Evidence from global stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 30-53.
- Vincenzo Candila, 2013. "A Comparison of the Forecasting Performances of Multivariate Volatility Models," Working Papers 3_228, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Salerno.
- Lazar, Emese & Zhang, Ning, 2019.
"Model risk of expected shortfall,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 74-93.
- Emese Lazar & Ning Zhang, 2017. "Model Risk of Expected Shortfall," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2017-10, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Anand, Abhinav & Li, Tiantian & Kurosaki, Tetsuo & Kim, Young Shin, 2016. "Foster–Hart optimal portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 117-130.
- Boucher, Christophe M. & Daníelsson, Jón & Kouontchou, Patrick S. & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2014.
"Risk models-at-risk,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 72-92.
- Christophe Boucher & Jon Danielsson & Patrick Kouontchou & Bertrand Maillet, 2014. "Risk models-at-risk," Post-Print hal-02312332, HAL.
- Christophe Boucher & Jón Daníelsson & Patrick Kouontchou & Bertrand Maillet, 2014. "Risk models-at-risk," Post-Print hal-01243413, HAL.
- Boucher, Christophe M. & Danielsson, Jon & Kouontchou, Patrick S. & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2014. "Risk models–at–risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 59299, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Christophe Boucher & Jon Danielsson & Patrick Kouontchou & Bertrand Maillet, 2014. "Risk Model-at-Risk," Post-Print hal-01386003, HAL.
- Thiele, Stephen, 2019. "Detecting underestimates of risk in VaR models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 12-20.
- Daniel Velásquez-Gaviria & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Javier Perote, 2020. "A Comparison of the Risk Quantification in Traditional and Renewable Energy Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-42, June.
- Salhi, Khaled & Deaconu, Madalina & Lejay, Antoine & Champagnat, Nicolas & Navet, Nicolas, 2016. "Regime switching model for financial data: Empirical risk analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 461(C), pages 148-157.
- Stavroyiannis, S. & Makris, I. & Nikolaidis, V. & Zarangas, L., 2012. "Econometric modeling and value-at-risk using the Pearson type-IV distribution," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 10-17.
- Benjamin R. Auer & Benjamin Mögel, 2016. "How Accurate are Modern Value-at-Risk Estimators Derived from Extreme Value Theory?," CESifo Working Paper Series 6288, CESifo.
- František Čech & Jozef Baruník, 2019.
"Panel quantile regressions for estimating and predicting the value‐at‐risk of commodities,"
Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(9), pages 1167-1189, September.
- Frantiv{s}ek v{C}ech & Jozef Barun'ik, 2018. "Panel quantile regressions for estimating and predicting the Value--at--Risk of commodities," Papers 1807.11823, arXiv.org.
- Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Vinson Pham, 2012.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: From Dynamic Quantile to Dynamic Binary Tests,"
Finance, Presses universitaires de Grenoble, vol. 33(1), pages 79-112.
- Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Vinson Pham, 2012. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: From Dynamic Quantile to Dynamic Binary Tests," Post-Print hal-01385901, HAL.
- Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Vinson Pham, 2012. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: From Dynamic Quantile to Dynamic Binary Tests," Working Papers halshs-00671658, HAL.
- Benjamin Mögel & Benjamin R. Auer, 2018. "How accurate are modern Value-at-Risk estimators derived from extreme value theory?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 979-1030, May.
- Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.
- Wied, Dominik & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Ziggel, Daniel, 2016. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk forecasts: A new set of multivariate backtests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 121-132.
- Brechmann Eike Christain & Czado Claudia, 2013. "Risk management with high-dimensional vine copulas: An analysis of the Euro Stoxx 50," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 30(4), pages 307-342, December.
- Leccadito, Arturo & Boffelli, Simona & Urga, Giovanni, 2014. "Evaluating the accuracy of value-at-risk forecasts: New multilevel tests," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 206-216.
- Kwangmin Jung & Donggyu Kim & Seunghyeon Yu, 2022.
"Next generation models for portfolio risk management: An approach using financial big data,"
Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 89(3), pages 765-787, September.
- Kwangmin Jung & Donggyu Kim & Seunghyeon Yu, 2021. "Next Generation Models for Portfolio Risk Management: An Approach Using Financial Big Data," Papers 2102.12783, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Jung-Bin Su, 2014. "How to mitigate the impact of inappropriate distributional settings when the parametric value-at-risk approach is used," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 305-325, February.
- Nieto, Maria Rosa & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "Frontiers in VaR forecasting and backtesting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 475-501.
More about this item
Keywords
Value at risk; Alpha stable distributions; Long memory; Backtesting; Turkish stock market;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:eurase:v:7:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s40822-017-0067-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.