IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/endesu/v26y2024i9d10.1007_s10668-023-03557-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting future opportunities and threats of land-use changes on beekeeping activities in Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Fatih Sari

    (Konya Technical University)

Abstract

Since beekeeping is directly dependent on land-use patterns, beekeeping is much more affected by land-use changes than other sectors. As land-use changes have accelerated over the past decade, beekeeping is becoming more vulnerable and the need to monitor the response of the honey bee colonies to land-use changes is more important than ever. In this study, land-use changes were identified and future projections were made to determine whether the study area will provide new opportunities for beekeeping or whether valuable land will be irretrievably destroyed. One of the main objectives of this study is to show the future trends of the Turkish apicultural sector and its response to land-use changes along with changes in agriculture, forests, urban and natural plant areas in 2025, 2040 and 2050. The results show that by 2050, a total of 2840 km2 of fruit tree, 883.2 km2 of agricultural area will increase, and 1481.4 km2 of forest area will be lost. Since the largest expansion is expected in fruit trees (citrus in the study area), land-use changes were assessed by analyzing honey statistics for citrus and the contribution of honey bees to citrus pollination to verify the reliability of the predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Fatih Sari, 2024. "Predicting future opportunities and threats of land-use changes on beekeeping activities in Turkey," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(9), pages 22389-22420, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:26:y:2024:i:9:d:10.1007_s10668-023-03557-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03557-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-023-03557-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10668-023-03557-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guan, DongJie & Li, HaiFeng & Inohae, Takuro & Su, Weici & Nagaie, Tadashi & Hokao, Kazunori, 2011. "Modeling urban land use change by the integration of cellular automaton and Markov model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(20), pages 3761-3772.
    2. Simon G. Potts & Vera Imperatriz-Fonseca & Hien T. Ngo & Marcelo A. Aizen & Jacobus C. Biesmeijer & Thomas D. Breeze & Lynn V. Dicks & Lucas A. Garibaldi & Rosemary Hill & Josef Settele & Adam J. Vanb, 2016. "Safeguarding pollinators and their values to human well-being," Nature, Nature, vol. 540(7632), pages 220-229, December.
    3. Galbraith, Sara M. & Hall, Troy E. & Tavárez, Héctor S. & Kooistra, Chad M. & Ordoñez, Jenny C. & Bosque-Pérez, Nilsa A., 2017. "Local ecological knowledge reveals effects of policy-driven land use and cover change on beekeepers in Costa Rica," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 112-122.
    4. Malkamäki, Arttu & Toppinen, Anne & Kanninen, Markku, 2016. "Impacts of land use and land use changes on the resilience of beekeeping in Uruguay," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 113-123.
    5. Durant, Jennie L. & Otto, Clint R.V., 2019. "Feeling the sting? Addressing land-use changes can mitigate bee declines," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pavla Vrabcová & Miroslav Hájek, 2020. "The Economic Value of the Ecosystem Services of Beekeeping in the Czech Republic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Maderson, Siobhan, 2023. "Co-producing agricultural policy with beekeepers: Obstacles and opportunities," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    3. Jorge Ortega-Marcos & Violeta Hevia & Ana P. García-Nieto & José A. González, 2022. "Installing Flower Strips to Promote Pollinators in Simplified Agricultural Landscapes: Comprehensive Viability Assessment in Sunflower Fields," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-13, October.
    4. Francis A. Drummond & Aaron Kinyu Hoshide, 2024. "An Economic Cost/Benefit Tool to Assess Bee Pollinator Conservation, Pollination Strategies, and Sustainable Policies: A Lowbush Blueberry Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-28, April.
    5. Yang, Yuanyuan & Bao, Wenkai & Liu, Yansui, 2020. "Scenario simulation of land system change in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    6. Dong Sheng & Siyuan Jing & Xueqing He & Alexandra-Maria Klein & Heinz-R. Köhler & Thomas C. Wanger, 2024. "Plastic pollution in agricultural landscapes: an overlooked threat to pollination, biocontrol and food security," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    7. Zeng, Haoran & Wang, Haijun & Zhang, Bin & Song, Youcheng & Cao, Xiaoxu & Li, Qiyuan, 2024. "A new cellular automata framework of urban growth modeling by incorporating land use policies and economic development zone planning," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 498(C).
    8. Yang, Haijiang & Gou, Xiaohua & Niu, Yibo & Shi, Wenwei & Wang, Xinyun & Wei, Yuxin & Maraseni, Tek, 2024. "Assessing pollinator abundance and services to enhance agricultural sustainability and crop yield optimization in the Qilian Mountains," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    9. Nicolás Ruiz, Néstor & Suárez Alonso, María Luisa & Vidal-Abarca, María Rosario, 2021. "Contributions of dry rivers to human well-being: A global review for future research," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    10. Ling Xie & Hongwei Wang & Suhong Liu, 2022. "Simulating the spatiotemporal variations of oasis rural settlements in the upper reaches of rivers of arid regions in Xinjiang, China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(9), pages 1-24, September.
    11. Hristov, Jordan & Clough, Yann & Sahlin, Ullrika & Smith, Henrik G. & Stjernman, Martin & Olsson, Ola & Sahrbacher, Amanda & Brady, Mark V., 2020. "Impacts of the EU's Common Agricultural Policy “Greening” reform on agricultural development, biodiversity, and ecosystem services," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 42(4), pages 716-738.
    12. repec:ers:journl:v:xxiv:y:2021:i:4:p:517-533 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Beygi Heidarlou, Hadi & Banj Shafiei, Abbas & Erfanian, Mahdi & Tayyebi, Amin & Alijanpour, Ahmad, 2020. "Armed conflict and land-use changes: Insights from Iraq-Iran war in Zagros forests," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    14. K. Prakash & R. Jegankumar & R. S. Libina, 2023. "Modelling differential urban growth dynamics for growth decentralisation: a study on Tiruchirappalli metropolitan and sub-tier towns, India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 1191-1221, December.
    15. Michel Opelele Omeno & Ying Yu & Wenyi Fan & Tolerant Lubalega & Chen Chen & Claude Kachaka Sudi Kaiko, 2021. "Analysis of the Impact of Land-Use/Land-Cover Change on Land-Surface Temperature in the Villages within the Luki Biosphere Reserve," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-23, October.
    16. Han, Yu & Jia, Haifeng, 2017. "Simulating the spatial dynamics of urban growth with an integrated modeling approach: A case study of Foshan, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 353(C), pages 107-116.
    17. Jing Yang & Feng Shi & Yizhong Sun & Jie Zhu, 2019. "A Cellular Automata Model Constrained by Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity of the Urban Development Strategy for Simulating Land-use Change: A Case Study in Nanjing City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-19, July.
    18. Li, Sheng & Nadolnyak, Denis & Hartarska, Valentina, 2019. "Agricultural land conversion: Impacts of economic and natural risk factors in a coastal area," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 380-390.
    19. Sarah Hasan & Wenzhong Shi & Xiaolin Zhu & Sawaid Abbas & Hafiz Usman Ahmed Khan, 2020. "Future Simulation of Land Use Changes in Rapidly Urbanizing South China Based on Land Change Modeler and Remote Sensing Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-24, May.
    20. Teodoro Semeraro & Roberta Aretano & Amilcare Barca & Alessandro Pomes & Cecilia Del Giudice & Elisa Gatto & Marcello Lenucci & Riccardo Buccolieri & Rohinton Emmanuel & Zhi Gao & Alessandra Scognamig, 2020. "A Conceptual Framework to Design Green Infrastructure: Ecosystem Services as an Opportunity for Creating Shared Value in Ground Photovoltaic Systems," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-28, July.
    21. Harik, G. & Alameddine, I. & Zurayk, R. & El-Fadel, M., 2023. "Uncertainty in forecasting land cover land use at a watershed scale: Towards enhanced sustainable land management," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 486(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:26:y:2024:i:9:d:10.1007_s10668-023-03557-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.