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Leveraging single-case results to Bayesian hierarchical modelling

Author

Listed:
  • Shijing Si

    (Shanghai International Studies University)

  • Jia-wen Gu

    (Southern University of Science and Technology)

  • Maozai Tian

    (Renmin University of China)

Abstract

In scientific research, we often aim to learn one or more parameters of instances(objects) from a population—such as the batting averages of a group of baseball players and characteristics of white dwarfs from the Galactic Halo-and the distribution of fitted parameters across the population. Bayesian hierarchical models are well suited to this kind of situation. Despite there are many general-purpose and specialized Bayesian inference packages, many of them are designed for the single-case analysis, i.e., fitting a single unit of data at a time, rather than simultaneously fitting the hierarchical model for multiple datasets. This is especially true when the likelihood function is complicated and has no analytical form. In this paper, we fill this gap by proposing general algorithms to efficiently compute the exact hierarchical models by utilizing available packages that can perform Bayesian inference for single-case analysis. Our algorithms are efficient and easy-to-implement, thus significantly saving time and effort. We illustrate the application of our methods on three datasets, to verify the effectiveness, efficiency and benefits of our methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Shijing Si & Jia-wen Gu & Maozai Tian, 2025. "Leveraging single-case results to Bayesian hierarchical modelling," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 795-819, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:40:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1007_s00180-024-01516-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s00180-024-01516-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David M. Blei & Alp Kucukelbir & Jon D. McAuliffe, 2017. "Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticians," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(518), pages 859-877, April.
    2. David Lunn & Jessica Barrett & Michael Sweeting & Simon Thompson, 2013. "Fully Bayesian hierarchical modelling in two stages, with application to meta-analysis," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 62(4), pages 551-572, August.
    3. Raices Cruz, Ivette & Lindström, Johan & Troffaes, Matthias C.M. & Sahlin, Ullrika, 2022. "Iterative importance sampling with Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling in robust Bayesian analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
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