IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v178y2025i3d10.1007_s10584-025-03882-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events in Southwest China

Author

Listed:
  • Panjie Qiao

    (Kunming University of Science and Technology)

  • Xiaojuan Wang

    (Changshu Institute of Technology)

  • Wenqi Liu

    (Kunming University of Science and Technology)

  • Shuai Li

    (Fudan University)

  • Yongwen Zhang

    (Kunming University of Science and Technology)

  • Guolin Feng

    (Yangzhou University)

  • Jingfang Fan

    (Beijing Normal University)

Abstract

This study utilizes data from 1979 to 2023 and employs a 1-year sliding window approach to construct networks for each 10-year period, analyzing the synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events in Southwest China. The average weighted degree of these networks is defined as a synchronization index, which quantifies the synchronization between rainfall events across the region. The results reveal a significant upward trend in the synchronization index, indicating that extreme rainfall events occurring simultaneously in Southwest China are steadily increasing. Furthermore, through partial correlation, contribution rate, and composite analyses, the study demonstrates that the Indian Ocean Warm Pool Strength Index (IOWPSI) independently influences the synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events in Southwest China. In contrast, the Western Pacific Warm Pool Strength Index (WPWPSI) exerts a comparatively weaker independent effect on synchronization in this region. However, the interaction between the IOWPSI and the WPWPSI modulates the Western Pacific Subtropical High, thereby enhancing its influence on the synchronization of extreme rainfall events in Southwest China.

Suggested Citation

  • Panjie Qiao & Xiaojuan Wang & Wenqi Liu & Shuai Li & Yongwen Zhang & Guolin Feng & Jingfang Fan, 2025. "Synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events in Southwest China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 178(3), pages 1-18, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:178:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-025-03882-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-025-03882-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-025-03882-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-025-03882-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jagadish Patra & A. Mishra & R. Singh & N. Raghuwanshi, 2012. "Detecting rainfall trends in twentieth century (1871–2006) over Orissa State, India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(3), pages 801-817, April.
    2. Junyao Luo & Aihua Yang, 2024. "Analysis of Change in Summer Extreme Precipitation in Southwest China and Human Adaptation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-21, August.
    3. Jascha Lehmann & Dim Coumou & Katja Frieler, 2015. "Erratum to: increased record-breaking precipitation events under global warming," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(4), pages 517-518, October.
    4. Jascha Lehmann & Dim Coumou & Katja Frieler, 2015. "Increased record-breaking precipitation events under global warming," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(4), pages 501-515, October.
    5. Niklas Boers & Bedartha Goswami & Aljoscha Rheinwalt & Bodo Bookhagen & Brian Hoskins & Jürgen Kurths, 2019. "Complex networks reveal global pattern of extreme-rainfall teleconnections," Nature, Nature, vol. 566(7744), pages 373-377, February.
    6. Jinn-Chyi Chen & Wen-Shun Huang & Yuan-Fan Tsai, 2020. "Variability in the characteristics of extreme rainfall events triggering debris flows: a case study in the Chenyulan watershed, Taiwan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(3), pages 887-908, July.
    7. Peng Shi & Miao Wu & Simin Qu & Peng Jiang & Xueyuan Qiao & Xi Chen & Mi Zhou & Zhicai Zhang, 2015. "Spatial Distribution and Temporal Trends in Precipitation Concentration Indices for the Southwest China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(11), pages 3941-3955, September.
    8. Somnath Mondal & Ashok K. Mishra & Ruby Leung & Benjamin Cook, 2023. "Global droughts connected by linkages between drought hubs," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    9. Jitendra Singh & Moetasim Ashfaq & Christopher B. Skinner & Weston B. Anderson & Vimal Mishra & Deepti Singh, 2022. "Enhanced risk of concurrent regional droughts with increased ENSO variability and warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(2), pages 163-170, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Joeri Rogelj & Michiel Schaeffer & Tabea Lissner & Rachel Licker & Erich M. Fischer & Reto Knutti & Anders Levermann & Katja Frieler & William Hare, 2016. "Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(9), pages 827-835, September.
    2. Nkongho Ayuketang Arreyndip, 2021. "Identifying agricultural disaster risk zones for future climate actions," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(12), pages 1-16, December.
    3. Clyde E. Goulden & Jerry Mead & Richard Horwitz & Munhtuya Goulden & Banzragch Nandintsetseg & Sabrina McCormick & Bazartseren Boldgiv & Peter S. Petraitis, 2016. "Interviews of Mongolian herders and high resolution precipitation data reveal an increase in short heavy rains and thunderstorm activity in semi-arid Mongolia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 136(2), pages 281-295, May.
    4. Haixin Liu & Anbing Zhang & Tao Jiang & Haitao Lv & Xinxia Liu & Hefeng Wang, 2016. "The Spatiotemporal Variation of Drought in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Metropolitan Region (BTHMR) Based on the Modified TVDI," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-15, December.
    5. Michael Berlemann & Daniela Wenzel, 2018. "Precipitation and Economic Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 7258, CESifo.
    6. Berlemann, Michael & Eurich, Marina, 2021. "Natural hazard risk and life satisfaction – Empirical evidence for hurricanes," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    7. Zhiqi Yang & Gabriele Villarini, 2020. "On the role of increased CO2 concentrations in enhancing the temporal clustering of heavy precipitation events across Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1455-1472, October.
    8. Yuan-Chih Su & Bo-Jein Kuo, 2023. "Risk Assessment of Rice Damage Due to Heavy Rain in Taiwan," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-19, March.
    9. Michael Berlemann & Thi Xuyen Tran, 2020. "Climate-Related Hazards and Internal Migration Empirical Evidence for Rural Vietnam," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 385-409, July.
    10. Jinling Piao & Wen Chen & Jin-Soo Kim & Wen Zhou & Shangfeng Chen & Peng Hu & Xiaoqing Lan, 2023. "Future changes in rainy season characteristics over East China under continuous warming," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(9), pages 1-21, September.
    11. Isnaini Isnaini & Yudhistira Nugraha & Niranjan Baisakh & Nono Carsono, 2023. "Toward Food Security in 2050: Gene Pyramiding for Climate-Smart Rice," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-35, September.
    12. Kai Kornhuber & Corey Lesk & Carl F. Schleussner & Jonas Jägermeyr & Peter Pfleiderer & Radley M. Horton, 2023. "Risks of synchronized low yields are underestimated in climate and crop model projections," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    13. Antonio Menéndez Suárez-Inclán & Cristina Allende-Prieto & Jorge Roces-García & Juan P. Rodríguez-Sánchez & Luis A. Sañudo-Fontaneda & Carlos Rey-Mahía & Felipe P. Álvarez-Rabanal, 2022. "Development of a Multicriteria Scheme for the Identification of Strategic Areas for SUDS Implementation: A Case Study from Gijón, Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-20, March.
    14. Daniel Amoak & Isaac Luginaah & Gordon McBean, 2022. "Climate Change, Food Security, and Health: Harnessing Agroecology to Build Climate-Resilient Communities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-15, October.
    15. Christian Unterberger, 2018. "How Flood Damages to Public Infrastructure Affect Municipal Budget Indicators," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 5-20, April.
    16. Dominik Traxl & Niklas Boers & Aljoscha Rheinwalt & Bodo Bookhagen, 2021. "The role of cyclonic activity in tropical temperature-rainfall scaling," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    17. Fenying Cai & Caihong Liu & Dieter Gerten & Song Yang & Tuantuan Zhang & Kaiwen Li & Jürgen Kurths, 2024. "Sketching the spatial disparities in heatwave trends by changing atmospheric teleconnections in the Northern Hemisphere," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    18. Haoyang Du & Chen Zhou & Haoqing Tang & Xiaolong Jin & Dengshuai Chen & Penghui Jiang & Manchun Li, 2021. "Simulation and estimation of future precipitation changes in arid regions: a case study of Xinjiang, Northwest China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-21, August.
    19. Muntaha Munir & Aisha Nazir & Adam Khan & Sidra Saleem & Hamada E. Ali, 2025. "Effect of Cattails ( Typha angustifolia L.) Biochar on Soil Fertility and Okra Productivity as an Effective Eco-Friendly Soil Amendment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-17, February.
    20. Uzoma Oduah & Emmanuel Joel & Josephat Izunobi & Olubunmi Nubi & Samuel Popoola & Nnaemeka Njoku-Achu & Oluwaseun Ajileye & Daniel Obiora & Augustine Chukwude & Babatunde Rabiu, 2023. "Effects of Variations in Earth's Gravitational Force Fields on Climate Change," Earth Science Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:178:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-025-03882-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.