IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v127y2014i3p505-520.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Rapid assessment of fisheries species sensitivity to climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Gretta Pecl
  • Tim Ward
  • Zoë Doubleday
  • Steven Clarke
  • Jemery Day
  • Cameron Dixon
  • Stewart Frusher
  • Philip Gibbs
  • Alistair Hobday
  • Neil Hutchinson
  • Sarah Jennings
  • Keith Jones
  • Xiaoxu Li
  • Daniel Spooner
  • Richard Stoklosa

Abstract

Climate change driven alterations in the distribution and abundance of marine species, and the timing of their life history events (phenology), are being reported around the globe. However, we have limited capacity to detect and predict these responses, even for comparatively well studied commercial fishery species. Fisheries provide significant socio-economic benefits for many coastal communities, and early warning of potential changes to fish stocks will provide managers and other stakeholders with the best opportunity to adapt to these impacts. Rapid assessment methods that can estimate the sensitivity of species to climate change in a wide range of contexts are needed. This study establishes an objective, flexible and cost effective framework for prioritising future ecological research and subsequent investment in adaptation responses in the face of resource constraints. We build on an ecological risk assessment framework to assess relative sensitivities of commercial species to climate change drivers, specifically in relation to their distribution, abundance and phenology, and demonstrate our approach using key species within the fast warming region of south-eastern Australia. Our approach has enabled fisheries managers to understand likely changes to fisheries under a range of climate change scenarios, highlighted critical research gaps and priorities, and assisted marine industries to identify adaptation strategies that maximise positive outcomes. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Gretta Pecl & Tim Ward & Zoë Doubleday & Steven Clarke & Jemery Day & Cameron Dixon & Stewart Frusher & Philip Gibbs & Alistair Hobday & Neil Hutchinson & Sarah Jennings & Keith Jones & Xiaoxu Li & Da, 2014. "Rapid assessment of fisheries species sensitivity to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 127(3), pages 505-520, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:127:y:2014:i:3:p:505-520
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1284-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10584-014-1284-z
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-014-1284-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin Edwards & Anthony J. Richardson, 2004. "Impact of climate change on marine pelagic phenology and trophic mismatch," Nature, Nature, vol. 430(7002), pages 881-884, August.
    2. Nursey-Bray, Melissa & Pecl, G.T. & Frusher, S. & Gardner, C. & Haward, M. & Hobday, A.J. & Jennings, S. & Punt, A.E. & Revill, H. & van Putten, I., 2012. "Communicating climate change: Climate change risk perceptions and rock lobster fishers, Tasmania," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 753-759.
    3. Elvira S. Poloczanska & Christopher J. Brown & William J. Sydeman & Wolfgang Kiessling & David S. Schoeman & Pippa J. Moore & Keith Brander & John F. Bruno & Lauren B. Buckley & Michael T. Burrows & C, 2013. "Global imprint of climate change on marine life," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(10), pages 919-925, October.
    4. Gian-Reto Walther & Eric Post & Peter Convey & Annette Menzel & Camille Parmesan & Trevor J. C. Beebee & Jean-Marc Fromentin & Ove Hoegh-Guldberg & Franz Bairlein, 2002. "Ecological responses to recent climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 416(6879), pages 389-395, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hooper, Tara & Beaumont, Nicola & Griffiths, Charly & Langmead, Olivia & Somerfield, Paul J., 2017. "Assessing the sensitivity of ecosystem services to changing pressures," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 160-169.
    2. Andrew J Allyn & Michael A Alexander & Bradley S Franklin & Felix Massiot-Granier & Andrew J Pershing & James D Scott & Katherine E Mills, 2020. "Comparing and synthesizing quantitative distribution models and qualitative vulnerability assessments to project marine species distributions under climate change," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-28, April.
    3. Johanna E. Johnson & David J. Welch, 2016. "Climate change implications for Torres Strait fisheries: assessing vulnerability to inform adaptation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 135(3), pages 611-624, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Andrew J Allyn & Michael A Alexander & Bradley S Franklin & Felix Massiot-Granier & Andrew J Pershing & James D Scott & Katherine E Mills, 2020. "Comparing and synthesizing quantitative distribution models and qualitative vulnerability assessments to project marine species distributions under climate change," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-28, April.
    2. Anderson, James J. & Gurarie, Eliezer & Bracis, Chloe & Burke, Brian J. & Laidre, Kristin L., 2013. "Modeling climate change impacts on phenology and population dynamics of migratory marine species," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 264(C), pages 83-97.
    3. Antonio Tulone & Antonino Galatia & Salvatore Lupo & Salvatore Tinervia & Maria Crescimanno, 2019. "What are the effects of sea warming on the fishing industry?," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 21(2), pages 217-233.
    4. R. Iestyn Woolway, 2023. "The pace of shifting seasons in lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Xinyan Mao & Xinyu Guo & Yucheng Wang & Katsumi Takayama, 2019. "Influences of Global Warming on the Larval Survival and Transport of Snow Crab ( Chionoecetes opilio ) in the Sea of Japan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-17, April.
    6. Mayeul Dalleau & Stéphane Ciccione & Jeanne A Mortimer & Julie Garnier & Simon Benhamou & Jérôme Bourjea, 2012. "Nesting Phenology of Marine Turtles: Insights from a Regional Comparative Analysis on Green Turtle (Chelonia mydas)," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(10), pages 1-13, October.
    7. Bu, Lingduo & Chen, Xinping & Li, Shiqing & Liu, Jianliang & Zhu, Lin & Luo, Shasha & Lee Hill, Robert & Zhao, Ying, 2015. "The effect of adapting cultivars on the water use efficiency of dryland maize (Zea mays L.) in northwestern China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 1-9.
    8. Anne Goodenough & Adam Hart, 2013. "Correlates of vulnerability to climate-induced distribution changes in European avifauna: habitat, migration and endemism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 659-669, June.
    9. Monika Punia & Suman Nain & Amit Kumar & Bhupendra Singh & Amit Prakash & Krishan Kumar & V. Jain, 2015. "Analysis of temperature variability over north-west part of India for the period 1970–2000," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 935-952, January.
    10. Wesley R. Brooks & Stephen C. Newbold, 2013. "Ecosystem damages in integrated assessment models of climate change," NCEE Working Paper Series 201302, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Mar 2013.
    11. Nicoletta Cannone & M. Guglielmin & P. Convey & M. R. Worland & S. E. Favero Longo, 2016. "Vascular plant changes in extreme environments: effects of multiple drivers," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(4), pages 651-665, February.
    12. Hongsheng Bi & Rubao Ji & Hui Liu & Young-Heon Jo & Jonathan A Hare, 2014. "Decadal Changes in Zooplankton of the Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, January.
    13. Groeneveld, Jürgen & Johst, Karin & Kawaguchi, So & Meyer, Bettina & Teschke, Mathias & Grimm, Volker, 2015. "How biological clocks and changing environmental conditions determine local population growth and species distribution in Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba): a conceptual model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 303(C), pages 78-86.
    14. Norman Myers, 2003. "Conservation of Biodiversity: How Are We Doing?," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 9-15, March.
    15. Donohue, John G. & Piiroinen, Petri T., 2015. "Mathematical modelling of seasonal migration with applications to climate change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 299(C), pages 79-94.
    16. John H Matthews & Bart AJ Wickel & Sarah Freeman, 2011. "Converging Currents in Climate-Relevant Conservation: Water, Infrastructure, and Institutions," PLOS Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(9), pages 1-4, September.
    17. Feng, Zhiying & Tang, Wenhu & Niu, Zhewen & Wu, Qinghua, 2018. "Bi-level allocation of carbon emission permits based on clustering analysis and weighted voting: A case study in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1122-1135.
    18. Feng Dong & Chih-Ming Hung & Shou-Hsien Li & Xiao-Jun Yang, 2021. "Potential Himalayan community turnover through the Late Pleistocene," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 1-10, January.
    19. Ding, Helen & Nunes, Paulo A.L.D., 2014. "Modeling the links between biodiversity, ecosystem services and human wellbeing in the context of climate change: Results from an econometric analysis of the European forest ecosystems," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 60-73.
    20. Chan, Nathan & Wichman, Casey, 2017. "The Effects of Climate on Leisure Demand: Evidence from North America," RFF Working Paper Series 17-20, Resources for the Future.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:127:y:2014:i:3:p:505-520. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.