IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/urbstu/v24y1987i1p31-45.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Area Policy Impacts: A Multiplier Analysis of GEAR

Author

Listed:
  • A.G.M. Nairn

    (Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University of Strathclyde)

  • J.K. Swales

    (Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde)

Abstract

This paper attempts to quantify the employment and income effects of the Glasgow Eastern Area Renewal (GEAR) programme on its target area. This is done using an augmented Keynesian multiplier approach. The multiplier model is adjusted to take into account the particular characteristics of the injection and the fact that the target area is small and well-integrated within a large conurbation. The results are disaggregated so that the impact of each element of the programme is separately-identified, and the overall results are subject to sensitivity analysis. Although the estimated increases in employment and income are large in absolute terms, they are small relative to the decline that immediately preceded the introduction of the GEAR programme.

Suggested Citation

  • A.G.M. Nairn & J.K. Swales, 1987. "Area Policy Impacts: A Multiplier Analysis of GEAR," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 31-45, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:24:y:1987:i:1:p:31-45
    DOI: 10.1080/00420988720080031
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1080/00420988720080031
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/00420988720080031?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brownrigg, Mark, 1971. "The Regional Income Multiplier: An Attempt to Complete the Model," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 18(3), pages 281-297, November.
    2. B Ashcroft & J K Swales, 1982. "The Importance of the First round in the Multiplier Process: The Impact of Civil Service Dispersal," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 14(4), pages 429-444, April.
    3. Sinclair, M Thea & Sutcliffe, Charles M S, 1978. "The First Round of the Keynesian Regional Income Multiplier," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 25(2), pages 177-186, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alessandra Faggian & Bianca Biagi, 2003. "Measuring Regional Multipliers: a Comparison between two Different Methodologies for the case of the italian Regions," SCIENZE REGIONALI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2003(1).
    2. Paul Coomes & Dennis Olson & John Merchant, 1991. "Using a Metropolitan-area Econometric Model to Analyse Economic Development Proposals," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 28(3), pages 369-382, June.
    3. Utis Kaothien, 1991. "Regional and Urbanisation Policy in Thailand: The Tertiary Sector as a Leading Sector in Regional Development," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 28(6), pages 1027-1043, December.
    4. Paul Foley, 1992. "Local Economic Policy and Job Creation: A Review of Evaluation Studies," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 29(3-4), pages 557-598, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. J.A. Lewis, 1988. "Assessing the Effect of the Polytechnic, Wolverhampton on the Local Community," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 25(1), pages 53-61, February.
    2. Harvey W. Armstrong, 1993. "The Local Income and Employment Impact of Lancaster University," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 30(10), pages 1653-1668, December.
    3. Utis Kaothien, 1991. "Regional and Urbanisation Policy in Thailand: The Tertiary Sector as a Leading Sector in Regional Development," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 28(6), pages 1027-1043, December.
    4. Maria Llop & Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod, 2012. "Economic impact of a new museum on the local economy: “the Gaudí Centre”," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 17-23, March.
    5. Juan L. Eugenio-Martin & Noelia Martín-Morales & M. Thea Sinclair, 2008. "The Role of Economic Development in Tourism Demand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(4), pages 673-690, December.
    6. J. N. Marshall & D. Bradley & C. Hodgson & N. Alderman & R. Richardson, 2005. "Relocation, relocation, relocation: Assessing the case for public sector dispersal," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(6), pages 767-787.
    7. Faggio, Giulia, 2019. "Relocation of public sector workers: Evaluating a place-based policy," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 53-75.
    8. P.A. Black, 2004. "Economic Impact Analysis: Methodological Note," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 72(5), pages 1069-1075, December.
    9. repec:clr:wugarc:y:1994:v:20i:4p:539 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Dr Ronald W. McQuaid, 1997. "The Location of Civil Service Jobs in Scotland in relation to the Local Economic Impact of the Scottish Parliament," Working Paper p26, Departement of Economics, Napier University.
    11. B Ashcroft & J K Swales, 1982. "The Importance of the First round in the Multiplier Process: The Impact of Civil Service Dispersal," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 14(4), pages 429-444, April.
    12. repec:ehl:lserod:50482 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Maria Mavri & Vasilis Angelis & Katerina Dimaki, 2011. "The Impact of Educational Activities on Regional Development," ERSA conference papers ersa10p1111, European Regional Science Association.
    14. Faggio, Giulia & Overman, Henry, 2014. "The effect of public sector employment on local labour markets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 91-107.
    15. John Glasson & Dominique van Der Wee & Brendan Barrett, 1988. "A Local Income and Employment Multiplier Analysis of a Proposed Nuclear Power Station Development at Hinkley Point in Somerset," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 25(3), pages 248-261, June.
    16. Martin Larch, 1994. "Die Analyse externer Bestimmungsfaktoren der regionalen Wirtschaftsentwicklung im Rahmen eines VARModells," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 20(4), pages 539-557.
    17. Psaltopoulos, Demetrios & Skuras, Dimitris & Thomson, Kenneth J., 2011. "Employment effects of private investment initiatives in rural areas of southern Europe: A regional SAM approach," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 12(2).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:24:y:1987:i:1:p:31-45. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/urbanstudiesjournal .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.