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Research Note: Threshold Effects on Development of Tourism and Economic Growth

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  • Yu-Shan Wang

    (Department of Money and Banking, National Kaohsiung First University of Science and Technology, No 2, Juo-Yue Rd, Nantz District, Kaohsiung 81164, Taiwan)

Abstract

This paper uses 1996–2006 data on the top 10 countries in the 2008 Country Brand Index to examine threshold effects. When exchange rate changes are higher than the threshold value, the coefficient is positive. This means that continued tourism development can greatly enhance economic growth. If a currency continues to depreciate dramatically, the correlation between the two will disappear. The interactions between tourism development and economic growth are different under various ratio threshold values of exchange rate changes. This study shows that, if the government pays attention to trends in exchange rates and implements appropriate policies, tourism can effectively boost economic growth; at the same time, inflation suppresses economic growth. Tourism can potentially contribute to economic development and so it is advisable for governments to dedicate strategic resources to tourism in order to boost short-term economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu-Shan Wang, 2012. "Research Note: Threshold Effects on Development of Tourism and Economic Growth," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(5), pages 1135-1141, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:18:y:2012:i:5:p:1135-1141
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2012.0160
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hung, Fu-Sheng, 2003. "Inflation, financial development, and economic growth," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 45-67.
    2. Hansen, Bruce E., 1999. "Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 345-368, December.
    3. Nikolaos Dritsakis, 2004. "Tourism as a Long-Run Economic Growth Factor: An Empirical Investigation for Greece Using Causality Analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 305-316, September.
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    2. Jianxiong Tang & Chaoyue Cai & Yujing Liu & Jiaxiang Sun, 2022. "Can Tourism Development Help Improve Urban Liveability? An Examination of the Chinese Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-27, September.
    3. Naradda Gamage, Sisira Kumara & Kumudumali, S. H. T. & Otamurodov, Shavkat, 2020. "The Nexus between Tourism and Economic Growth: A Systematic Literature Review and Future Research Directions," MPRA Paper 104086, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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