IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/risrel/v236y2022i4p598-616.html

Deep learning health state prognostics of physical assets in the Oil and Gas industry

Author

Listed:
  • Joaquín Figueroa Barraza
  • Luis Guarda Bräuning
  • Ruben Benites Perez
  • Carlos Bittencourt Morais
  • Marcelo Ramos Martins
  • Enrique Lopez Droguett

Abstract

Due to its capital-intensive nature, the Oil and Gas industry requires high operational standards to meet safety and environmental requirements, while maintaining economical returns. In this context, maintenance policies play a crucial role in the avoidance of unplanned downtimes and enhancement of productivity. In particular, Condition-Based Maintenance is an approach in which maintenance actions are performed depending on the assets’ health state that is evaluated through different kinds of sensors. In this paper, Deep Learning methods are explored and different models are proposed for health state prognostics of physical assets in two real-life cases from the Oil and Gas industry: a Natural Gas treatment plant in an offshore production platform where elevated levels of CO 2 must be predicted, and a sea water injection pump for oil extraction stimulation, in which several degradation levels must be predicted. A general methodology for preprocessing the available multi-sensor data and developing proper models is proposed and apply in both case studies. In the first one, a LSTM autoencoder is developed, achieving precision values over 83.5% when predicting anomalous states up to 8 h ahead. In the second case study, a CNN-LSTM model is proposed for the pump’s health state prognostics 48 h ahead, achieving precision values above 99% for all possible pump health states.

Suggested Citation

  • Joaquín Figueroa Barraza & Luis Guarda Bräuning & Ruben Benites Perez & Carlos Bittencourt Morais & Marcelo Ramos Martins & Enrique Lopez Droguett, 2022. "Deep learning health state prognostics of physical assets in the Oil and Gas industry," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 236(4), pages 598-616, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:236:y:2022:i:4:p:598-616
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X20976817
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1748006X20976817
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/1748006X20976817?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhao, Yang & Li, Jianping & Yu, Lean, 2017. "A deep learning ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 9-16.
    2. Sampath, Suresh & Ogaji, Stephen & Singh, Riti & Probert, Douglas, 2002. "Engine-fault diagnostics:an optimisation procedure," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 47-70, September.
    3. Zhexiang Chi & Taotao Zhou & Simin Huang & Yan-Fu Li, 2020. "A data-driven approach for the health prognosis of high-speed train wheels," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(6), pages 735-747, December.
    4. Andrés Ruiz-Tagle Palazuelos & Enrique López Droguett & Rodrigo Pascual, 2020. "A novel deep capsule neural network for remaining useful life estimation," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(1), pages 151-167, February.
    5. Jialin Li & Xueyi Li & David He & Yongzhi Qu, 2020. "A domain adaptation model for early gear pitting fault diagnosis based on deep transfer learning network," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(1), pages 168-182, February.
    6. Cai, Baoping & Liu, Yonghong & Fan, Qian & Zhang, Yunwei & Liu, Zengkai & Yu, Shilin & Ji, Renjie, 2014. "Multi-source information fusion based fault diagnosis of ground-source heat pump using Bayesian network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-9.
    7. Chine, W. & Mellit, A. & Lughi, V. & Malek, A. & Sulligoi, G. & Massi Pavan, A., 2016. "A novel fault diagnosis technique for photovoltaic systems based on artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 501-512.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yu Zang & Wei Shangguan & Baigen Cai & Huashen Wang & Michael G Pecht, 2019. "Methods for fault diagnosis of high-speed railways: A review," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(5), pages 908-922, October.
    2. Jen-Yu Lee & Tien-Thinh Nguyen & Hong-Giang Nguyen & Jen-Yao Lee, 2022. "Towards Predictive Crude Oil Purchase: A Case Study in the USA and Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, May.
    3. Basora, Luis & Viens, Arthur & Chao, Manuel Arias & Olive, Xavier, 2025. "A benchmark on uncertainty quantification for deep learning prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    4. Zhang, Hong & Nguyen, Hoang & Bui, Xuan-Nam & Pradhan, Biswajeet & Mai, Ngoc-Luan & Vu, Diep-Anh, 2021. "Proposing two novel hybrid intelligence models for forecasting copper price based on extreme learning machine and meta-heuristic algorithms," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    5. Radosław Puka & Bartosz Łamasz & Marek Michalski, 2021. "Effectiveness of Artificial Neural Networks in Hedging against WTI Crude Oil Price Risk," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-26, June.
    6. Liwen Ling & Dabin Zhang & Shanying Chen & Amin W. Mugera, 2020. "Can online search data improve the forecast accuracy of pork price in China?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 671-686, July.
    7. Zhang, Shuai & Chen, Yong & Xiao, Jiuhong & Zhang, Wenyu & Feng, Ruijun, 2021. "Hybrid wind speed forecasting model based on multivariate data secondary decomposition approach and deep learning algorithm with attention mechanism," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 688-704.
    8. Kara Mostefa Khelil, Chérifa & Amrouche, Badia & Benyoucef, Abou soufiane & Kara, Kamel & Chouder, Aissa, 2020. "New Intelligent Fault Diagnosis (IFD) approach for grid-connected photovoltaic systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    9. Ke Yan & Yuting Dai & Meiling Xu & Yuchang Mo, 2019. "Tunnel Surface Settlement Forecasting with Ensemble Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    10. Qi Zhang & Yi Hu & Jianbin Jiao & Shouyang Wang, 2022. "Exploring the Trend of Commodity Prices: A Review and Bibliometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.
    11. Belqasem Aljafari & Siva Rama Krishna Madeti & Priya Ranjan Satpathy & Sudhakar Babu Thanikanti & Bamidele Victor Ayodele, 2022. "Automatic Monitoring System for Online Module-Level Fault Detection in Grid-Tied Photovoltaic Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-28, October.
    12. Dhimish, Mahmoud & Holmes, Violeta & Dales, Mark, 2017. "Parallel fault detection algorithm for grid-connected photovoltaic plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 94-111.
    13. Liu, Zengkai & Liu, Yonghong & Zhang, Dawei & Cai, Baoping & Zheng, Chao, 2015. "Fault diagnosis for a solar assisted heat pump system under incomplete data and expert knowledge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 41-48.
    14. Nguyen, Quyen & Diaz-Rainey, Ivan & Kuruppuarachchi, Duminda, 2021. "Predicting corporate carbon footprints for climate finance risk analyses: A machine learning approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    15. Zhang, Shuangyi & Li, Xichen, 2021. "Future projections of offshore wind energy resources in China using CMIP6 simulations and a deep learning-based downscaling method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    16. Garshasbi, Mohammad Sadeq, 2016. "Fault localization based on combines active and passive measurements in computer networks by ant colony optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 205-212.
    17. Thakur, Jagruti & Hesamzadeh, Mohammad Reza & Date, Paresh & Bunn, Derek, 2023. "Pricing and hedging wind power prediction risk with binary option contracts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    18. Jha, Nimish & Kumar Tanneru, Hemanth & Palla, Sridhar & Hussain Mafat, Iradat, 2024. "Multivariate analysis and forecasting of the crude oil prices: Part I – Classical machine learning approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    19. Yuanrong Wang & Yinsen Miao & Alexander CY Wong & Nikita P Granger & Christian Michler, 2023. "Domain-adapted Learning and Interpretability: DRL for Gas Trading," Papers 2301.08359, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    20. Keyan Jin & Francisco Javier Blanco‐Encomienda, 2026. "Seasonal Decomposition‐Enhanced Deep Learning Architecture for Probabilistic Forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(2), pages 880-891, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:236:y:2022:i:4:p:598-616. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.