IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/niesru/v112y1985i1p41-52.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Models of the UK Economy and the Real Wage-Employment Debate

Author

Listed:
  • M.J. Andrews
  • D.N.F. Bell
  • P.G. Fisher
  • K.F. Wallis
  • J.D. Whitley

    (The ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau. The Bureau was established at the University of Warwick)

Abstract

This article is an example of the type of exercise that is made possible by the existence of the set of UK models at Warwick. Using three quarterly models, those of the London Business School (LBS), the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) and Her Majesty's Treasury (HMT), and two annual models, those of the City University Business School (CUBS) and the Liverpool University Research Group in Macroeconomics (LPL), it considers the use, and possible abuse, of such models of the UK economy to illustrate the real wage— employment debate. In UK models real wages and employment are determined jointly and the article shows that the sign of the association between these two variables depends ore the nature of the shock which causes real wages to change. A common method of analysis is to perturb the endogenous real wage directly and although the results are quantitatively similar to those where the change to real wages results from a supply-side shock to the labour market, it is argued that such exercises are typically without foundation since no mechanism for achieving a direct reduction in real wages is put forward. Any implicit model which underpins the assumption of an exogenous shift in an endogenous variable needs to be stated clearly in order for the plausibility of the 'intervention' and resulting policy analysis to be assessed.

Suggested Citation

  • M.J. Andrews & D.N.F. Bell & P.G. Fisher & K.F. Wallis & J.D. Whitley, 1985. "Models of the UK Economy and the Real Wage-Employment Debate," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 112(1), pages 41-52, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:niesru:v:112:y:1985:i:1:p:41-52
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ner.sagepub.com/content/112/1/41.abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Douven, Rudy & Peeters, Marga, 1998. "GDP-spillovers in multi-country models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 163-195, April.
    2. Palle S. Andersen, 1991. "Labour market developments in developing countries," BIS Working Papers 16, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Stephen Bazen, 1990. "On the Employment Effects of Introducing a National Minimum Wage in the UK," British Journal of Industrial Relations, London School of Economics, vol. 28(2), pages 215-226, July.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:niesru:v:112:y:1985:i:1:p:41-52. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/niesruk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.