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System Dynamics Model Linking Demand, Employment Movement Between Sectors And The Economy For The South African Construction Sector

Author

Listed:
  • Kevin Jan DUFFY

    (Institute of Systems Science, Durban University of Technology, Durban 4000, South Africa)

  • Obiora Cornelius COLLINS

    (Institute of Systems Science, Durban University of Technology, Durban 4000, South Africa)

  • Thokozani SIMELANE

    (Institute of Systems Science, Durban University of Technology, Durban 4000, South Africa; Science and Technology, Africa Institute of South Africa, Human Sciences Research Council, Pretoria, South Africa)

Abstract

Several factors can influence the dynamics in demand and supply of skills for all employment sectors. Here the variable drivers for construction sector employment are taken to involve the demand for employment, choice of employment and the state of the economy. A dynamical model based on longitudinal data obtained from the Construction Education and Training Authority (CETA) of South Africa is used to predict the dynamics of future employment trends in the construction sector of South Africa. This paper argues for a system dynamics approach as both a conceptual and methodological tool for predicting employment trends. The relationship between economic growth, demand and employment movement between sectors are shown to impact employment in the construction industry. Knowledge of how these factors impact employment could help policy makers in their efforts to reduce unemployment.

Suggested Citation

  • Kevin Jan DUFFY & Obiora Cornelius COLLINS & Thokozani SIMELANE, 2022. "System Dynamics Model Linking Demand, Employment Movement Between Sectors And The Economy For The South African Construction Sector," Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 17(2), pages 5-15, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:rom:terumm:v:17:y:2022:i:2:p:5-15
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kruss, Glenda & McGrath, Simon & Petersen, Il-haam & Gastrow, Michael, 2015. "Higher education and economic development: The importance of building technological capabilities," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 22-31.
    2. Keating, Jack, 2009. "Matching supply of and demand for skills: international perspectives," Australian Bulletin of Labour, National Institute of Labour Studies, vol. 35(3), pages 528-560.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Zhuo, 2023. "The impact of the artificial intelligence industry on the number and structure of employments in the digital economy environment," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).

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