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Oscillatory Dynamics of Industrial Production

  • Purica, Ionut

    ()

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy)

GDP and its components’ evolution show an oscillatory behavior. As an alternative approach to classical cyclical behavior producing models the paper analyses this behavior both by Fourier transforms of the data series and by a discussion of the roots configuration of the associated second order differential equations describing the process. Specific cycles that associate with the economic sectors contributing to the generation of GDP are identified. This oscillatory system-based approach is providing a complementary way to describe economic behavior dynamics.

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File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef4_12/rjef4_2012p117-128.pdf
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Article provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its journal Romanian Journal for Economic Forecasting.

Volume (Year): (2012)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 117-128

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Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2012:i:4:p:117-128
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  1. Long, John B, Jr & Plosser, Charles I, 1983. "Real Business Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(1), pages 39-69, February.
  2. Edward C. Prescott, 1986. "Theory ahead of business cycle measurement," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Fall, pages 9-22.
  3. Purica, Ionut & Caraiani, Petre, 2009. "Second Order Dynamics Of Economic Cycles," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(1), pages 36-47, March.
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