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Development and Economic Growth: The Case of Eight Asian Countries


  • Sinha, Dipendra

    () (Department of Economics Division of Economic and Financial Studies Macquarie University)

  • Macri, Joseph

    () (Department of Economics Division of Economic and Financial Studies Macquarie University)


This paper looks at the relationship between financial development and economic growth using time series data for eight Asian countries. First, we estimate augmented production functions where a financial development variable is added. Second, we conduct multivariate causality tests between the growth rate of income and the growth rates of the financial development variables. The regression results show a positive and significant relationship between the income variables and financial variables for India, Malaysia, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. The multivariate causality tests show a two-way causality relationship between the income and the financial variables for India and Malaysia, one-way causality from financial variables to income variables for Japan and Thailand and reverse causality for Korea, Pakistan and Philippines. Thus, our empirical results do not unambiguously support the general view of a clear and positive relationship between financial development and economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Sinha, Dipendra & Macri, Joseph, 2001. "Development and Economic Growth: The Case of Eight Asian Countries," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 54(2), pages 219-234.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0219

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Eichengreen, Barry & Rose, Andrew K & Wyplosz, Charles, 1996. "Contagious Currency Crises," CEPR Discussion Papers 1453, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Graciela Kaminsky & Saul Lizondo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1998. "Leading Indicators of Currency Crises," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 45(1), pages 1-48, March.
    3. Obstfeld, Maurice, 1986. "Rational and Self-fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 72-81, March.
    4. Paul R Masson, 1998. "Contagion; Monsoonal Effects, Spillovers, and Jumps Between Multiple Equilibria," IMF Working Papers 98/142, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-325, August.
    6. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1996. "Currency crashes in emerging markets: An empirical treatment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-4), pages 351-366, November.
    7. van der Ploeg, Frederick, 1989. "The Political Economy of Overvaluation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(397), pages 850-855, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stojkoski, Viktor & Popova, Kristina, 2016. "Financial Development and Growth: Panel Cointegration Evidence from South-Eastern and Central Europe," MPRA Paper 69029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Hsueh, Shun-Jen & Hu, Yu-Hau & Tu, Chien-Heng, 2013. "Economic growth and financial development in Asian countries: A bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 294-301.
    3. Henryk Gurgul & £ukasz Lach, 2012. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in Poland in Transition: Causality Analysis," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(4), pages 347-367, August.
    4. Law, Siong Hook & Azman-Saini, W.N.W. & Smith, Peter, 2006. "Finance and growth in a small open emerging market," MPRA Paper 715, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Tronzano, Marco, 2011. "“Finance and Growth: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence for the Indian Economy” - Finanza e crescita: un riesame dell’evidenza empirica nel caso dell’India," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 64(3), pages 329-364.
    6. Chien-Chiang Lee & Swee Yoong Wong, 2005. "Inflationary Threshold Effects In The Relationship Between Financial Development And Economic Growth: Evidence From Taiwan And Japan," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 30(1), pages 49-69, June.
    7. Yusuf Ekrem AKBAS, 2015. "Financial development and economic growth in emerging market: bootstrap panel causality analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(604), A), pages 171-186, Autumn.
    8. Peter Lawrence, 2006. "Finance and development: why should causation matter?," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(7), pages 997-1016.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General


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