Macroeconomic Vulnerability and Investment Risks in the Middle East and North Africa Region
In this paper we assess a country’s investment risk by studying its vulnerability to shocks in macroeconomic variables including GDP growth, infl ation, and unemployment. Based on the criteria of quick stabilization in the impulse responses of the macro variables after a one standard deviation shock, we rank a sample of ten MENA countries as follows: Algeria (least risky), Syria, Malta, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, Oman, Jordan, United Arab Emirates and Bahrain (most risky). We conclude that a country’s economic policy appears to be more important than its oil reserves in stabilizing its economy and attracting FDI in the MENA region.
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Volume (Year): 62 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
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