IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0307486.html

Evaluation of flood metrics across the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin and their relation to flood damages

Author

Listed:
  • Keith E Schilling
  • Elliot S Anderson
  • Jerry Mount
  • Kelly Suttles
  • Philip W Gassman
  • Natalja Cerkasova
  • Michael J White
  • Jeffrey G Arnold

Abstract

Societal risks from flooding are evident at a range of spatial scales and climate change will exacerbate these risks in the future. Assessing flood risks across broad geographical regions is a challenge, and often done using streamflow time-series records or hydrologic models. In this study, we used a national-scale hydrological model to identify, assess, and map 16 different streamflow metrics that could be used to describe flood risks across 34,987 HUC12 subwatersheds within the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin (MARB). A clear spatial difference was observed among two different classes of metrics. Watersheds in the eastern half of the MARB exhibited higher overall flows as characterized by the mean, median, and maximum daily values, whereas western MARB watersheds were associated with flood indicative of high extreme flows such as skewness, standardized streamflow index and top days. Total agricultural and building losses within HUC12 watersheds were related to flood metrics and those focused on higher overall flows were more correlated to expected annual losses (EAL) than extreme value metrics. Results from this study are useful for identifying continental scale patterns of flood risks within the MARB and should be considered a launching point from which to improve the connections between watershed scale risks and the potential use of natural infrastructure practices to reduce these risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Keith E Schilling & Elliot S Anderson & Jerry Mount & Kelly Suttles & Philip W Gassman & Natalja Cerkasova & Michael J White & Jeffrey G Arnold, 2024. "Evaluation of flood metrics across the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin and their relation to flood damages," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(10), pages 1-22, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0307486
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0307486
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0307486
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0307486&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0307486?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Keith E. Schilling & Jerry Mount & Kelly M. Suttles & Eileen L. McLellan & Phillip W. Gassman & Michael J. White & Jeffrey G. Arnold, 2023. "An Approach for Prioritizing Natural Infrastructure Practices to Mitigate Flood and Nitrate Risks in the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-24, January.
    2. Iman Mallakpour & Gabriele Villarini, 2015. "The changing nature of flooding across the central United States," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(3), pages 250-254, March.
    3. Kennen, Jonathan G. & Kauffman, Leon J. & Ayers, Mark A. & Wolock, David M. & Colarullo, Susan J., 2008. "Use of an integrated flow model to estimate ecologically relevant hydrologic characteristics at stream biomonitoring sites," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 57-76.
    4. Nigel Arnell & Simon Gosling, 2016. "The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(3), pages 387-401, February.
    5. Davor Kvočka & Roger A. Falconer & Michaela Bray, 2016. "Flood hazard assessment for extreme flood events," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1569-1599, December.
    6. Hessel C. Winsemius & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Ludovicus P. H. van Beek & Marc F. P. Bierkens & Arno Bouwman & Brenden Jongman & Jaap C. J. Kwadijk & Willem Ligtvoet & Paul L. Lucas & Detlef P. van Vuu, 2016. "Global drivers of future river flood risk," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(4), pages 381-385, April.
    7. Adam Smith & Jessica Matthews, 2015. "Quantifying uncertainty and variable sensitivity within the US billion-dollar weather and climate disaster cost estimates," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(3), pages 1829-1851, July.
    8. Čerkasova, Natalja & White, Michael & Arnold, Jeffrey & Bieger, Katrin & Allen, Peter & Gao, Jungang & Gambone, Marilyn & Meki, Manyowa & Kiniry, James & Gassman, Philip W., 2023. "Field scale SWAT+ modeling of corn and soybean yields for the contiguous United States: National Agroecosystem Model Development," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    9. Dimitrios Myronidis & Konstantinos Ioannou & Dimitrios Fotakis & Gerald Dörflinger, 2018. "Streamflow and Hydrological Drought Trend Analysis and Forecasting in Cyprus," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1759-1776, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Laura Devitt & Jeffrey Neal & Gemma Coxon & James Savage & Thorsten Wagener, 2023. "Flood hazard potential reveals global floodplain settlement patterns," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Yixiang Zhu & Cheng He & Jovine Bachwenkizi & Zafar Fatmi & Lu Zhou & Jian Lei & Cong Liu & Haidong Kan & Renjie Chen, 2024. "Burden of infant mortality associated with flood in 37 African countries," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Dayang Wang & Dagang Wang & Chongxun Mo & Yi Du, 2021. "Risk variation of reservoir regulation during flood season based on bivariate statistical approach under climate change: a case study in the Chengbihe reservoir, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 1585-1608, September.
    4. Justin S. Rogers & Marco P. Maneta & Stephan R. Sain & Luke E. Madaus & Joshua P. Hacker, 2025. "The role of climate and population change in global flood exposure and vulnerability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Zhiqiang Yin & Yixin Hu & Katie Jenkins & Yi He & Nicole Forstenhäusler & Rachel Warren & Lili Yang & Rhosanna Jenkins & Dabo Guan, 2021. "Assessing the economic impacts of future fluvial flooding in six countries under climate change and socio-economic development," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 1-21, June.
    6. Bingyu Zhao & Jianjun Wu & Feng Tian & Mengxue Liu & Meng Chen & Jingyu Lin, 2025. "Temporal and Spatial changes in flood disaster risk over the past 30 years in the Poyang lake region, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(11), pages 12487-12515, June.
    7. Martin Kabenge & Joshua Elaru & Hongtao Wang & Fengting Li, 2017. "Characterizing flood hazard risk in data-scarce areas, using a remote sensing and GIS-based flood hazard index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(3), pages 1369-1387, December.
    8. Yi He & Desmond Manful & Rachel Warren & Nicole Forstenhäusler & Timothy J. Osborn & Jeff Price & Rhosanna Jenkins & Craig Wallace & Dai Yamazaki, 2022. "Quantification of impacts between 1.5 and 4 °C of global warming on flooding risks in six countries," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 1-21, January.
    9. Jun Rentschler & Melda Salhab & Bramka Arga Jafino, 2022. "Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    10. Thomas O’Shea & Dónall Cross & Mark G. Macklin & Chris Thomas, 2025. "Advancing Sustainability and Resilience in Vulnerable Rural and Coastal Communities Facing Environmental Change with a Regionally Focused Composite Mapping Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-25, September.
    11. Christos Ouzounis & Vasilis Bellos, 2025. "The Impact of Temporal Rainfall Pattern Uncertainties on Water Quantity and Sediment Transportation Results of an Integrated Flood Simulator," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 39(10), pages 4853-4868, August.
    12. Jidong Wu & Ying Li & Ning Li & Peijun Shi, 2018. "Development of an Asset Value Map for Disaster Risk Assessment in China by Spatial Disaggregation Using Ancillary Remote Sensing Data," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(1), pages 17-30, January.
    13. Abdulwaheed Tella & Abdul-Lateef Balogun, 2020. "Ensemble fuzzy MCDM for spatial assessment of flood susceptibility in Ibadan, Nigeria," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(3), pages 2277-2306, December.
    14. Philip Antwi-Agyei & Frank Baffour-Ata & Sarah Koomson & Nana Kwame Kyeretwie & Nana Barimah Nti & Afia Oforiwaa Owusu & Fukaiha Abdul Razak, 2023. "Drivers and coping mechanisms for floods: experiences of residents in urban Kumasi, Ghana," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 2477-2500, March.
    15. Surajit Ghosh & Jayesh Mukherjee, 2023. "Earth observation data to strengthen flood resilience: a recent experience from the Irrawaddy River," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(3), pages 2749-2754, February.
    16. Marcinkowski, Paweł & Piniewski, Mikołaj, 2024. "Future changes in crop yield over Poland driven by climate change, increasing atmospheric CO2 and nitrogen stress," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    17. Bushra Khalid & Bueh Cholaw & Débora Souza Alvim & Shumaila Javeed & Junaid Aziz Khan & Muhammad Asif Javed & Azmat Hayat Khan, 2018. "Riverine flood assessment in Jhang district in connection with ENSO and summer monsoon rainfall over Upper Indus Basin for 2010," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(2), pages 971-993, June.
    18. Pezhman Allahbakhshian-Farsani & Mehdi Vafakhah & Hadi Khosravi-Farsani & Elke Hertig, 2025. "Projection of Mean Annual and Maximum 24-h Precipitation under Future Climatic Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 39(6), pages 2785-2817, April.
    19. Mashkhura Babadjanova & Ihtiyor Bobojonov & Maksud Bekchanov & Lena Kuhn & Thomas Glauben, 2024. "Can domestic wheat farming meet the climate change-induced challenges of national food security in Uzbekistan?," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 448-462, May.
    20. Debra Javeline & Tracy Kijewski-Correa & Angela Chesler, 2019. "Does it matter if you “believe” in climate change? Not for coastal home vulnerability," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 155(4), pages 511-532, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0307486. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.