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Evolution of Predator Dispersal in Relation to Spatio-Temporal Prey Dynamics: How Not to Get Stuck in the Wrong Place!

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  • Justin M J Travis
  • Stephen C F Palmer
  • Steven Coyne
  • Alexandre Millon
  • Xavier Lambin

Abstract

The eco-evolutionary dynamics of dispersal are recognised as key in determining the responses of populations to environmental changes. Here, by developing a novel modelling approach, we show that predators are likely to have evolved to emigrate more often and become more selective over their destination patch when their prey species exhibit spatio-temporally complex dynamics. We additionally demonstrate that the cost of dispersal can vary substantially across space and time. Perhaps as a consequence of current environmental change, many key prey species are currently exhibiting major shifts in their spatio-temporal dynamics. By exploring similar shifts in silico, we predict that predator populations will be most vulnerable when prey dynamics shift from stable to complex. The more sophisticated dispersal rules, and greater variance therein, that evolve under complex dynamics will enable persistence across a broader range of prey dynamics than the rules which evolve under relatively stable prey conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Justin M J Travis & Stephen C F Palmer & Steven Coyne & Alexandre Millon & Xavier Lambin, 2013. "Evolution of Predator Dispersal in Relation to Spatio-Temporal Prey Dynamics: How Not to Get Stuck in the Wrong Place!," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(2), pages 1-9, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0054453
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0054453
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Benjamin L. Phillips & Gregory P. Brown & Jonathan K. Webb & Richard Shine, 2006. "Invasion and the evolution of speed in toads," Nature, Nature, vol. 439(7078), pages 803-803, February.
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    1. Iritani, Ryosuke & Iwasa, Yoh, 2014. "Parasite infection drives the evolution of state-dependent dispersal of the host," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-13.

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