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Modeling transportation demand in short sea shipping

Author

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  • Tiago A Santos

    (Centre for Marine Technology and Ocean Engineering (CENTEC), Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa)

  • C Guedes Soares

    (Centre for Marine Technology and Ocean Engineering (CENTEC), Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa)

Abstract

The objective of this study is to develop a generic model for evaluating the potential demand for short sea shipping (SSS) in a given route. This model can be used in feasibility studies for novel SSS services, when shipping companies evaluate the potential demand for the service, considering the amount of cargo carried between regions and the potential for modal shift from road to sea. A model of costs and transit time across the entire supply chain is developed for unimodal and intermodal transport solutions based on cargo ro-ro ships. The model includes decision-making criteria on the preferable transport solution. The model is applied to the route between Leixões and Lisbon, for which the overall demand for cargo transport is obtained from statistical data relating to exports and imports split by NUTS 2 regions. The model produces the amounts of cargo that could potentially be carried annually through each transport solution, for different freight rates and ship speeds, and allowing the identification of NUTS 2 regions for which the SSS solution is competitive. A sensitivity analysis is carried out to assess the effects of changes in several model parameters on results.

Suggested Citation

  • Tiago A Santos & C Guedes Soares, 2017. "Modeling transportation demand in short sea shipping," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 19(4), pages 695-722, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:marecl:v:19:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1057_mel.2016.9
    DOI: 10.1057/mel.2016.9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Khandaker Rasel Hasan & Wei Zhang & Wenming Shi, 2021. "Barriers to intermodal freight diversion: a total logistics cost approach," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 23(3), pages 569-586, September.
    2. Tiago A. Santos & C. Guedes Soares, 2017. "Methodology for ro-ro ship and fleet sizing with application to short sea shipping," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(7), pages 859-881, October.
    3. Antão, P. & Sun, S. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2023. "Quantitative assessment of ship collision risk influencing factors from worldwide accident and fleet data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    4. T. A. Santos & G. Lopes Santos & P. Martins & C. Guedes Soares, 2022. "A methodology for short-sea-shipping service design within intermodal transport chains," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 24(1), pages 138-167, March.

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