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Government Intervention and Arbitrage

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  • Paolo Pasquariello

Abstract

Direct government intervention in a market may induce violations of the law of one price in other, arbitrage-related markets. I show that a government pursuing a nonpublic, partially informative price target in a model of strategic market-order trading and segmented dealership generates equilibrium price differentials among fundamentally identical assets by clouding dealers’ inference about the targeted asset’s payoff from its order flow, to an extent complexly dependent on existing price formation. I find supportive evidence using a sample of American Depositary Receipts and other cross-listings traded in the major U.S. exchanges, along with currency interventions by developed and emerging countries between 1980 and 2009. Received May 18, 2016; editorial decision May 10, 2017 by Editor Andrew Karolyi.

Suggested Citation

  • Paolo Pasquariello, 2018. "Government Intervention and Arbitrage," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(9), pages 3344-3408.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:31:y:2018:i:9:p:3344-3408.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhx074
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    Cited by:

    1. Luong, Phat V. & Sopranzetti, Ben, 2022. "Commodity markets intervention: Consequences of speculation, and informed trading," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    2. Zhu, Minchen & Lv, Dayong & Wu, Wenfeng, 2022. "Market stabilization fund and stock price crash risk: Evidence from the post-crash period," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Hui, Cho-Hoi & Lo, Chi-Fai & Liu, Chi-Hei, 2022. "Exchange rate dynamics with crash risk and interventions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 18-37.
    4. Chi, Yeguang & Li, Xiaoming, 2019. "Beauties of the emperor: An investigation of a Chinese government bailout," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 42-70.
    5. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Gillan, James M., 2022. "Does quantitative easing affect market liquidity?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    6. Patrick Aldridge & David Cimon & Rishi Vala, 2023. "Central Bank Crisis Interventions: A Review of the Recent Literature on Potential Costs," Discussion Papers 2023-30, Bank of Canada.

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