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New Pricing Models, Same Old Phillips Curves?

Author

Listed:
  • Adrien Auclert
  • Rodolfo Rigato
  • Matthew Rognlie
  • Ludwig Straub

Abstract

We show that in a broad class of menu cost models, the first-order dynamics of aggregate inflation in response to arbitrary shocks to aggregate costs are nearly the same as in Calvo models with suitably chosen Calvo adjustment frequencies. We first prove that the canonical menu cost model is first-order equivalent to a mixture of two time-dependent models, which reflect the extensive and intensive margins of price adjustment. We then show numerically that in any plausible parameterization, this mixture is well approximated by a single Calvo model. This close numerical fit carries over to other standard specifications of menu cost models. Thus, for shocks that are not too large, the Phillips curve for a menu cost model looks like the New Keynesian Phillips curve, but with a higher slope.

Suggested Citation

  • Adrien Auclert & Rodolfo Rigato & Matthew Rognlie & Ludwig Straub, 2024. "New Pricing Models, Same Old Phillips Curves?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 139(1), pages 121-186.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:qjecon:v:139:y:2024:i:1:p:121-186.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/qje/qjad041
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    Cited by:

    1. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi & Panagiotis Souganidis, 2023. "Price Setting With Strategic Complementarities as a Mean Field Game," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(6), pages 2005-2039, November.
    2. John H Cochrane, "undated". "Expectations and the Neutrality of Interest Rates," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2023-07, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Nov 2023.
    3. Gödl, Maximilian & Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel, 2023. "Wage Setting in Times of High and Low Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277641, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Meghana Gaur & John Grigsby & Jonathon Hazell & Abdoulaye Ndiaye, 2024. "Bonus Question: How Does Flexible Incentive Pay Affect Wage Rigidity?," Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers 091, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    5. John Cochrane, 2024. "Expectations and the Neutrality of Interest Rates," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 53, pages 194-223, July.
    6. Isabel Gödl-Hanisch & Manuel Menkhoff, 2023. "Firms’ Pass-Through Dynamics: A Survey Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 10520, CESifo.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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