IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/oup/biomet/v109y2022i2p295-315..html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Confidence regions in Wasserstein distributionally robust estimation
[Distributionally robust groupwise regularization estimator]

Author

Listed:
  • Jose Blanchet
  • Karthyek Murthy
  • Nian Si

Abstract

SummaryEstimators based on Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization are obtained as solutions of min-max problems in which the statistician selects a parameter minimizing the worst-case loss among all probability models within a certain distance from the underlying empirical measure in a Wasserstein sense. While motivated by the need to identify optimal model parameters or decision choices that are robust to model misspecification, these distributionally robust estimators recover a wide range of regularized estimators, including square-root lasso and support vector machines, among others. This paper studies the asymptotic normality of these distributionally robust estimators as well as the properties of an optimal confidence region induced by the Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization formulation. In addition, key properties of min-max distributionally robust optimization problems are also studied; for example, we show that distributionally robust estimators regularize the loss based on its derivative, and we also derive general sufficient conditions which show the equivalence between the min-max distributionally robust optimization problem and the corresponding max-min formulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Jose Blanchet & Karthyek Murthy & Nian Si, 2022. "Confidence regions in Wasserstein distributionally robust estimation [Distributionally robust groupwise regularization estimator]," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 109(2), pages 295-315.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:biomet:v:109:y:2022:i:2:p:295-315.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/biomet/asab026
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alexander Shapiro, 1993. "Asymptotic Behavior of Optimal Solutions in Stochastic Programming," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 18(4), pages 829-845, November.
    2. Jose Blanchet & Karthyek Murthy, 2019. "Quantifying Distributional Model Risk via Optimal Transport," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(2), pages 565-600, May.
    3. Dariush Khezrimotlagh & Yao Chen, 2018. "The Optimization Approach," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Decision Making and Performance Evaluation Using Data Envelopment Analysis, chapter 0, pages 107-134, Springer.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Luyun Wang & Bo Zhou, 2023. "A Modified Gradient Method for Distributionally Robust Logistic Regression over the Wasserstein Ball," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, May.
    2. Wang, Yongli & Wang, Yudong & Huang, Yujing & Yang, Jiale & Ma, Yuze & Yu, Haiyang & Zeng, Ming & Zhang, Fuwei & Zhang, Yanfu, 2019. "Operation optimization of regional integrated energy system based on the modeling of electricity-thermal-natural gas network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Yang, Lin & Pang, Shujiang & Wang, Xiaoyan & Du, Yi & Huang, Jieyu & Melching, Charles S., 2021. "Optimal allocation of best management practices based on receiving water capacity constraints," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    4. Wu, Jiansong & Zhang, Linlin & Bai, Yiping & Reniers, Genserik, 2022. "A safety investment optimization model for power grid enterprises based on System Dynamics and Bayesian network theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    5. Xu, Xiangdong & Qu, Kai & Chen, Anthony & Yang, Chao, 2021. "A new day-to-day dynamic network vulnerability analysis approach with Weibit-based route adjustment process," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    6. Wang, Yongli & Li, Jiapu & Wang, Shuo & Yang, Jiale & Qi, Chengyuan & Guo, Hongzhen & Liu, Ximei & Zhang, Hongqing, 2020. "Operational optimization of wastewater reuse integrated energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    7. Baha Alzalg & Asma Gafour, 2023. "Convergence of a Weighted Barrier Algorithm for Stochastic Convex Quadratic Semidefinite Optimization," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 196(2), pages 490-515, February.
    8. Changyu Zhou & Guohe Huang & Jiapei Chen, 2019. "A Type-2 Fuzzy Chance-Constrained Fractional Integrated Modeling Method for Energy System Management of Uncertainties and Risks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-21, June.
    9. Hu, Lin & Hu, Xiaosong & Che, Yunhong & Feng, Fei & Lin, Xianke & Zhang, Zhiyong, 2020. "Reliable state of charge estimation of battery packs using fuzzy adaptive federated filtering," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    10. Hao, Ran & Lu, Tianguang & Ai, Qian & Wang, Zhe & Wang, Xiaolong, 2020. "Distributed online learning and dynamic robust standby dispatch for networked microgrids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    11. Yuhong Shuai & Liming Yao, 2021. "Adjustable Robust Optimization for Multi-Period Water Allocation in Droughts Under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(12), pages 4043-4065, September.
    12. Yinhe Bu & Xingping Zhang, 2021. "On the Way to Integrate Increasing Shares of Variable Renewables in China: Experience from Flexibility Modification and Deep Peak Regulation Ancillary Service Market Based on MILP-UC Programming," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-22, February.
    13. Viet Anh Nguyen & Fan Zhang & Shanshan Wang & Jose Blanchet & Erick Delage & Yinyu Ye, 2021. "Robustifying Conditional Portfolio Decisions via Optimal Transport," Papers 2103.16451, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    14. Meng Qi & Ying Cao & Zuo-Jun (Max) Shen, 2022. "Distributionally Robust Conditional Quantile Prediction with Fixed Design," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 1639-1658, March.
    15. Donovin D. Lewis & Aron Patrick & Evan S. Jones & Rosemary E. Alden & Abdullah Al Hadi & Malcolm D. McCulloch & Dan M. Ionel, 2023. "Decarbonization Analysis for Thermal Generation and Regionally Integrated Large-Scale Renewables Based on Minutely Optimal Dispatch with a Kentucky Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-23, February.
    16. Li, Yang & Wang, Bin & Yang, Zhen & Li, Jiazheng & Chen, Chen, 2022. "Hierarchical stochastic scheduling of multi-community integrated energy systems in uncertain environments via Stackelberg game," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    17. Xu, Jie & Lv, Tao & Hou, Xiaoran & Deng, Xu & Liu, Feng, 2021. "Provincial allocation of renewable portfolio standard in China based on efficiency and fairness principles," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1233-1245.
    18. Qiaohua Fang & Xuezhe Wei & Haifeng Dai, 2019. "A Remaining Discharge Energy Prediction Method for Lithium-Ion Battery Pack Considering SOC and Parameter Inconsistency," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, March.
    19. Díaz, Guzmán & Coto, José & Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier, 2019. "Prediction and explanation of the formation of the Spanish day-ahead electricity price through machine learning regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 610-625.
    20. Ming Zhang & Qianwen Huang & Sihan Liu & Huiying Li, 2019. "Multi-Objective Optimization of Aircraft Taxiing on the Airport Surface with Consideration to Taxiing Conflicts and the Airport Environment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-27, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:biomet:v:109:y:2022:i:2:p:295-315.. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oxford University Press (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://academic.oup.com/biomet .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.