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Variance of Agricultural Prices, Industrial Prices, and Money

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  • Doo Bong Han
  • John B. Penson
  • Dennis W. Jansen

Abstract

The relative uncertainty of agricultural prices and industrial prices with respect to the uncertainty of growth in the money supply are investigated utilizing multivariate ARCH and GARCH analysis. The conditional variances of agricultural prices were shown to dwarf the variances of industrial prices and the money supply. The relatively greater sensitivity of the conditional variance of agricultural prices to changes in the variance of the money supply than industrial prices found in this analysis provides a further perspective on the uncertainty confronting farmers, including the impacts of the monetary policy shock that precipitated the farm financial crisis in the early 1980s.

Suggested Citation

  • Doo Bong Han & John B. Penson & Dennis W. Jansen, 1990. "Variance of Agricultural Prices, Industrial Prices, and Money," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(4), pages 1066-1073.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:72:y:1990:i:4:p:1066-1073.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1242638
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    Cited by:

    1. Phillips, Shauna & Bewley, Ronald A., 1991. "The Effects Of Flexible Exchange Rates On Australian Wool Prices," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 35(1), pages 1-28, April.
    2. Athanasios Triantafyllou & Dimitrios Bakas & Marilou Ioakimidis, 2023. "Commodity price uncertainty as a leading indicator of economic activity," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4194-4219, October.
    3. Michael T. Belongia, 1991. "Monetary policy and the farm/nonfarm price ratio: a comparison of effects," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Jul, pages 30-46.
    4. Chen, Yao & Ward, Felix, 2019. "When do fixed exchange rates work? Evidence from the Gold Standard," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 158-172.
    5. Neibergs, J. Shannon, 1998. "Macroeconomic Conditions And Agribusiness Profitability: An Analysis Using Pooled Data," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 1(1), pages 1-15.
    6. Xin Fan & Shan Jin & Zeyu Chen, 2023. "Who Benefits from Domestic Market Integration?," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 24(6), pages 2083-2109, August.
    7. Nikolaos Dritsakis & Antonios Adamopoulos, 2004. "The Causal Relationship Between Domestic Private Consumption and Wholesale Prices: The Case of European Union," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3-4), pages 53-64.
    8. Weaver, Robert D & Natcher, William C, 2000. "Commodity Price Volatility under New Market Orientations," MPRA Paper 9862, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Choe, Young Chan & Koo, Won W., 1993. "Monetary Impacts On Prices In The Short And Long Run: Further Results For The United States," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(2), pages 1-14, December.
    10. Doo Bong, HAN & Ji-Yong, LEE, 2009. "Spikes and Pass-Through of Global Grain Prices on the Korean Agricultural and Food Markets," Journal of Rural Economics, Agricultural Economics Society of Japan, vol. 81(2), pages 1-9, September.
    11. Kim, Jihae & Kim, Soyoung, 2021. "Monetary policy shocks and delayed overshooting in farm prices and exchange rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 620-628.
    12. Efstratios Loizou & Kostandinos Mattas & Angelos Pagoulatos, 1997. "Macro-monetary effects on agricultural prices: the case of Greek agriculture," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(7), pages 397-400.
    13. Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan & Ferto, Imre, 2009. "Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in a Transition Economy: The Case of Hungary," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51798, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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