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Financial Instability Prediction in Manufacturing and Service Industry

Author

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  • Robert Zenzerovic

    (Juraj Dobrila University of Pula, Department of Economics and Tourism “Dr. Mijo Mirkovic”, Croatia)

Abstract

This article presents an attempt to derive models for financial instability prediction in manufacturing and service industry especially suitable for transitional environments. Research results indicate that the most important ratios – independent variables that discriminate financially stable from unstable companies consist of liquidity, solvency and profitability ratios. Financial instability models have high degree of diagnostic and prognostic power what was statistically validated on the sample units. Aforementioned predictive ability makes these models appropriate tools for predicting the degree of financial stability of company’s business partners as well as useful instrument in estimating the appropriateness of going concern assumption for company itself. Financial instability models can be used, not only as instrument for choosing adequate business partners, but also as a tool for estimating the level and trends of financial stability in manufacturing and service industry on macro level preseting in this way instrument for macro policy decision makers.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Zenzerovic, 2009. "Financial Instability Prediction in Manufacturing and Service Industry," Interdisciplinary Management Research, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics, Croatia, vol. 5, pages 607-616.
    • Handle: RePEc:osi:journl:v:5:y:2009:p:607-616
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Deakin, Eb, 1972. "Discriminant Analysis Of Predictors Of Business Failure," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(1), pages 167-179.
    2. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis And The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(4), pages 589-609, September.
    3. Ohlson, Ja, 1980. "Financial Ratios And The Probabilistic Prediction Of Bankruptcy," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 109-131.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crisis; bankruptcy; loss above equity; financial instability prediction models; discriminant analysis; manufacturing and service industry;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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