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Financial Statement Analysis and the Prediction of Financial Distress

Author

Listed:
  • Beaver, William H.
  • Correia, Maria
  • McNichols, Maureen F.

Abstract

Financial statement analysis has been used to assess a company's likelihood of financial distress — the probability that it will not be able to repay its debts. Financial statement analysis was used by credit suppliers to assess the credit worthiness of its borrowers. Today, financial statement analysis is ubiquitous and involves a wide variety of ratios and a wide variety of users, including trade suppliers, banks, creditrating agencies, investors and management, among others. Financial distress refers to the inability of a company to pay its financial obligations as they mature. Empirically, academic research in accounting and finance has focused on either bond default or bankruptcy. The basic issue is whether the probability of distress varies in a significant manner conditional upon the magnitude of the financial statement ratios. This monograph discusses the evolution of three main streams within the financial distress prediction literature: The set of dependent and explanatory variables used, the statistical methods of estimation, and the modeling of financial distress.

Suggested Citation

  • Beaver, William H. & Correia, Maria & McNichols, Maureen F., 2011. "Financial Statement Analysis and the Prediction of Financial Distress," Foundations and Trends(R) in Accounting, now publishers, vol. 5(2), pages 99-173, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:now:fntacc:1400000018
    DOI: 10.1561/1400000018
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Qi & Goldstein, Itay & Huang, Zeqiong & Vashishtha, Rahul, 2022. "Bank transparency and deposit flows," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 475-501.
    2. Janda, Karel & Moreira, David, 2016. "Predicting bankruptcy in European e-commerce sector," MPRA Paper 74460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Т. Sheshukova G. & A. Sanacheva A. & Т. Шешукова Г. & А. Саначева А., 2019. "Основы концепции анализа производственно-хозяйственной деятельности учреждений уголовно-исполнительной системы // Conceptual Framework to Analyze the Production and Economic Activity of the Institutio," Учет. Анализ. Аудит // Accounting. Analysis. Auditing, ФГОБУВО "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 6(2), pages 52-59.
    4. Niluthpaul Sarker & S. M. Khaled Hossain, 2023. "Ownership Structure and Financial Distress: Investigating the Moderating Effect of Audit Quality," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 187-202, November.
    5. María Fernanda Meneses-González & Javier Eliecer Pirateque-Niño & Santiago David Segovia-Baquero, 2019. "Indicadores de alerta temprana para el sector corporativo privado colombiano," Borradores de Economia 1084, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Geoffroy Enjolras & Philippe Madiès, 2020. "The role of bank analysts and scores in the prediction of financial distress: Evidence from French farms," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 2978-2993.
    7. Massimiliano Celli, 2021. "The Accounting of Consolidation Differences in the European Accounting Practice," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(12), pages 102-102, July.
    8. Ashraf, Sumaira & Félix, Elisabete G.S. & Serrasqueiro, Zélia, 2020. "Development and testing of an augmented distress prediction model: A comparative study on a developed and an emerging market," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 57.

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