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Wahania cen w Polsce w świetle teorii szkoły austriackiej

Author

Listed:
  • Andrzej Jędruchniewicz

    (Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego, Instytut Ekonomii i Finansów, Katedra Ekonomii i Polityki Gospodarczej)

  • Dawid Bródka

Abstract

Celem opracowania była ocena zastosowania teorii szkoły austriackiej do wyjaśnienia wahań cen produktów wytwarzanych na poszczególnych etapach w strukturze produkcji. Do zbadania zmienności cen w polskiej gospodarce w latach 2007–2018 wykorzystano dwa modele struktury produkcji. Empiryczna analiza wykazała, że wahania cen w modelu struktury opartym na bardziej zagregowanych kategoriach w pełni potwierdziły teorię szkoły austriackiej. Udało się potwierdzić występowanie istotnych statystycznie różnic w zakresie zmienności cenowej między etapami tej struktury. Wykazano również, że wahania cen surowców i dóbr przemysłowych były większe niż wahania dóbr konsumpcyjnych. Nie potwierdzono natomiast jednoznacznie teorii tej szkoły, badając zmiany cen w mniej zagregowanym modelu struktury. Tylko przy obniżeniu poziomu istotności statystycznej możliwe było przyjęcie hipotezy o niejednolitej zmienności cen między wszystkimi etapami. Dalsza analiza wykazała, że wahania cen w górnictwie i wydobyciu były większe niż w przetwórstwie przemysłowym oraz niż wahania cen nietrwałych dóbr konsumpcyjnych. Sprzeczna z omawianą teorią była natomiast większa zmienność cen nietrwałych dóbr konsumpcyjnych niż cen w przetwórstwie przemysłowym.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrzej Jędruchniewicz & Dawid Bródka, 2020. "Wahania cen w Polsce w świetle teorii szkoły austriackiej," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 51(6), pages 639-660.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpbik:v:51:y:2020:i:6:p:639-660
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ceny; wahania cen; struktura produkcji; szkoła austriacka;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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