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Adaptable graph region for optimizing performance in dynamic system long-term forecasting via time-aware expert

Author

Listed:
  • Xuan Peng

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering
    National Engineering Research Center for High-Speed Railway Construction Technology)

  • Zefeng Liu

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering)

  • Peng Zhang

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering)

  • Yufei Chen

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering)

  • Zhanjun Shao

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering)

  • Han Zhao

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering)

  • Xiaonan Xie

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering)

  • Lizhong Jiang

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering)

  • Zhuo Huang

    (Changsha University of Science and Technology, School of Civil Engineering)

  • Zhouzhou Pan

    (University of Oxford, Department of Engineering Science)

  • Jianwei Yan

    (East China Jiaotong University, School of Civil Engineering and Architecture)

  • Binbin Yin

    (The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering)

  • Ping Xiang

    (Central South University, School of Civil Engineering
    Chongqing University, Key Laboratory of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Prevention of Engineering Structures in Chongqing)

Abstract

Real-time and accurate prediction of the long-term behavior of dynamic systems is crucial for identifying risks during unexpected events, while computational efficiency is significantly influenced by the scale of the dynamic system. However, existing neural network models mainly focus on optimizing network structures to improve accuracy, neglecting computational efficiency. To address this issue, we propose regional graph representation, which reduces the scale of the graph structure by merging nodes into region, extracting topological information through graph convolution or lightweight convolution modules, and restoring the regions via fine-grained reconstruction. Notably, this method is adaptable to all graph-based models. Meanwhile, we introduce a sparse time-aware expert module, which selects experts for processing different scale information through a dynamic sparse selection mechanism, enabling multi-scale modeling of temporal information. The architecture we achieve an optimal balance between speed and prediction accuracy, providing a practical solution for real-time forecasting.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuan Peng & Zefeng Liu & Peng Zhang & Yufei Chen & Zhanjun Shao & Han Zhao & Xiaonan Xie & Lizhong Jiang & Zhuo Huang & Zhouzhou Pan & Jianwei Yan & Binbin Yin & Ping Xiang, 2025. "Adaptable graph region for optimizing performance in dynamic system long-term forecasting via time-aware expert," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-16, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-64984-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-64984-w
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    References listed on IDEAS

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