IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v16y2025i1d10.1038_s41467-025-57698-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate’s firm grip on glacier ablation in the Cordillera Darwin Icefield, Tierra del Fuego

Author

Listed:
  • Franziska Temme

    (Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg)

  • Christian Sommer

    (Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg)

  • Marius Schaefer

    (Universidad Austral de Chile)

  • Ricardo Jaña

    (Instituto Antártico Chileno)

  • Jorge Arigony-Neto

    (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande)

  • Inti Gonzalez

    (Centro de Estudios del Cuaternario de Fuego-Patagonia y Antártica
    Universidad de Magallanes)

  • Eñaut Izagirre

    (University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU
    Basque Centre for Climate Change BC3)

  • Ricardo Giesecke

    (Universidad Austral de Chile
    Centro FONDAP de Investigación en Dinámica de Ecosistemas Marinos de Altas Latitudes (IDEAL))

  • Dieter Tetzner

    (British Antarctic Survey)

  • Johannes J. Fürst

    (Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg)

Abstract

The Cordillera Darwin Icefield (CDI) in Tierra del Fuego is one of the largest temperate ice bodies in the Southern Hemisphere. We simulate the climatic energy and mass balance of its glaciers (2000–2023), which are sensitive indicators of climatic changes in the Southern Hemisphere’s higher mid-latitudes. Year-round westerly winds cause strong climatic gradients across the mountain range, reflected in the energy and mass fluxes. Our results reveal a significant increase in surface melt (+0.18 m w.e. yr-1 per decade) over the past two decades. We also present the first estimate of dynamically controlled mass loss into adjacent fjords and lakes by frontal ablation, amounting to 1.44 ± 0.94 Gt yr-1 (26 % of the total CDI mass loss). Frontal losses are mainly channelized through few marine-terminating glaciers. While frontal ablation is important for predicting the fate of individual glaciers, for the CDI as a whole, atmospheric conditions exert the main control on the current glacier evolution.

Suggested Citation

  • Franziska Temme & Christian Sommer & Marius Schaefer & Ricardo Jaña & Jorge Arigony-Neto & Inti Gonzalez & Eñaut Izagirre & Ricardo Giesecke & Dieter Tetzner & Johannes J. Fürst, 2025. "Climate’s firm grip on glacier ablation in the Cordillera Darwin Icefield, Tierra del Fuego," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-13, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-57698-6
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-57698-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-57698-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-025-57698-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Matthias H. Braun & Philipp Malz & Christian Sommer & David Farías-Barahona & Tobias Sauter & Gino Casassa & Alvaro Soruco & Pedro Skvarca & Thorsten C. Seehaus, 2019. "Constraining glacier elevation and mass changes in South America," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(2), pages 130-136, February.
    2. Christian Sommer & Philipp Malz & Thorsten C. Seehaus & Stefan Lippl & Michael Zemp & Matthias H. Braun, 2020. "Rapid glacier retreat and downwasting throughout the European Alps in the early 21st century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    3. Romain Hugonnet & Robert McNabb & Etienne Berthier & Brian Menounos & Christopher Nuth & Luc Girod & Daniel Farinotti & Matthias Huss & Ines Dussaillant & Fanny Brun & Andreas Kääb, 2021. "Accelerated global glacier mass loss in the early twenty-first century," Nature, Nature, vol. 592(7856), pages 726-731, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Brice Noël & Stef Lhermitte & Bert Wouters & Xavier Fettweis, 2025. "Poleward shift of subtropical highs drives Patagonian glacier mass loss," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Wang, Zongxia & Liu, Suxia, 2025. "Double disaggregation of the decline of terrestrial water storage for a highly cultivated dryland partially covered by glaciers," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    3. Caroline Taylor & Tom R. Robinson & Stuart Dunning & J. Rachel Carr & Matthew Westoby, 2023. "Glacial lake outburst floods threaten millions globally," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Yanjun Che & Shijin Wang & Yanqiang Wei & Tao Pu & Xinggang Ma, 2022. "Rapid changes to glaciers increased the outburst flood risk in Guangxieco Proglacial Lake in the Kangri Karpo Mountains, Southeast Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(3), pages 2163-2184, February.
    5. Tong Cui & Yukun Li & Long Yang & Yi Nan & Kunbiao Li & Mahmut Tudaji & Hongchang Hu & Di Long & Muhammad Shahid & Ammara Mubeen & Zhihua He & Bin Yong & Hui Lu & Chao Li & Guangheng Ni & Chunhong Hu , 2023. "Non-monotonic changes in Asian Water Towers’ streamflow at increasing warming levels," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Abhishek Banerjee & Shichang Kang & Wanqin Guo & Michael E. Meadows & Weicai Wang & Dhritiraj Sengupta & Taigang Zhang, 2024. "Glacier retreat and lake outburst floods in the central Himalayan region from 2000 to 2022," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(6), pages 5485-5508, April.
    7. J. Haacker & B. Wouters & X. Fettweis & I. A. Glissenaar & J. E. Box, 2024. "Atmospheric-river-induced foehn events drain glaciers on Novaya Zemlya," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    8. Jing Wei & Laurent Fontaine & Nicolas Valiente & Peter Dörsch & Dag O. Hessen & Alexander Eiler, 2023. "Trajectories of freshwater microbial genomics and greenhouse gas saturation upon glacial retreat," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Bashar Bashir & Abdullah Alsalman, 2024. "Morphometric and Soil Erosion Characterization Based on Geospatial Analysis and Drainage Basin Prioritization of the Rabigh Area Along the Eastern Red Sea Coastal Plain, Saudi Arabia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-26, October.
    10. Ruoshen Lin & Gang Mei & Ziyang Liu & Ning Xi & Xiaona Zhang, 2021. "Susceptibility Analysis of Glacier Debris Flow by Investigating the Changes in Glaciers Based on Remote Sensing: A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-23, June.
    11. Song, Biao & Almatrafi, Eydhah & Tan, Xiaofei & Luo, Songhao & Xiong, Weiping & Zhou, Chengyun & Qin, Meng & Liu, Yang & Cheng, Min & Zeng, Guangming & Gong, Jilai, 2022. "Biochar-based agricultural soil management: An application-dependent strategy for contributing to carbon neutrality," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    12. Christopher P. Loveluck & Levan G. Tielidze & Mikheil Elashvili & Andrei V. Kurbatov & Lela Gadrani & Nathaniel Erb-Satullo & Hans von Suchodoletz & Anca Dan & Hannes Laermanns & Helmut Brückner & Udo, 2024. "Rapid Climate Change, Integrated Human–Environment–Historical Records and Societal Resilience in Georgia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-24, August.
    13. Xiaowei Lyu & Yong Zhang & Huanhuan Wang & Xin Wang, 2024. "Mass Balance of Maritime Glaciers in the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau during Recent Decades," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-23, August.
    14. Michel Wortmann & Doris Duethmann & Christoph Menz & Tobias Bolch & Shaochun Huang & Jiang Tong & Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz & Valentina Krysanova, 2022. "Projected climate change and its impacts on glaciers and water resources in the headwaters of the Tarim River, NW China/Kyrgyzstan," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 171(3), pages 1-24, April.
    15. Zeng, Lijun & Du, Wenjing & Zhao, Laijun & Zhan, Yanhong, 2023. "An inter-provincial transfer fee model under renewable portfolio standard policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    16. Berthold, Anne & Cologna, Viktoria & Siegrist, Michael, 2022. "The influence of scarcity perception on people's pro-environmental behavior and their readiness to accept new sustainable technologies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    17. Florian Kapmeier, 2020. "Reflections on developing a simulation model on sustainable and healthy diets for decision makers: Comment on the paper by Kopainsky," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 928-935, November.
    18. Ø. Foss & J. Maton & G. Moholdt & L. S. Schmidt & D. A. Sutherland & I. Fer & F. Nilsen & J. Kohler & A. Sundfjord, 2024. "Ocean warming drives immediate mass loss from calving glaciers in the high Arctic," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    19. Renlu Qiao & Shuo Gao & Xiaochang Liu & Li Xia & Guobin Zhang & Xi Meng & Zhiyu Liu & Mo Wang & Shiqi Zhou & Zhiqiang Wu, 2024. "Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    20. Konstantin A. Maslov & Claudio Persello & Thomas Schellenberger & Alfred Stein, 2025. "Globally scalable glacier mapping by deep learning matches expert delineation accuracy," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-14, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-57698-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.