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Enhanced warming of European mountain permafrost in the early 21st century

Author

Listed:
  • Jeannette Noetzli

    (WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF
    Climate Change, Extremes and Natural Hazards in Alpine Regions Research Centre CERC)

  • Ketil Isaksen

    (Norwegian Meteorological Institute)

  • Jamie Barnett

    (Stockholm University)

  • Hanne H. Christiansen

    (University Centre in Svalbard)

  • Reynald Delaloye

    (University of Fribourg)

  • Bernd Etzelmüller

    (University of Oslo)

  • Daniel Farinotti

    (ETH Zurich
    Snow and Landscape Research WSL)

  • Thomas Gallemann

    (Bavarian Environment Agency)

  • Mauro Guglielmin

    (Insubria University)

  • Christian Hauck

    (University of Fribourg)

  • Christin Hilbich

    (University of Fribourg)

  • Martin Hoelzle

    (University of Fribourg)

  • Christophe Lambiel

    (University of Lausanne)

  • Florence Magnin

    (CNRS/Université Savoie Mont-Blanc)

  • Marc Oliva

    (Universitat de Barcelona)

  • Luca Paro

    (Environmental Protection Agency of Piedmont)

  • Paolo Pogliotti

    (Environmental Protection Agency of Valle d’Aosta)

  • Claudia Riedl

    (GeoSphere Austria)

  • Philippe Schoeneich

    (Université Grenoble Alpes)

  • Mauro Valt

    (Centro Valanghe di Arabba)

  • Andreas Vieli

    (University of Zurich)

  • Marcia Phillips

    (WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF
    Climate Change, Extremes and Natural Hazards in Alpine Regions Research Centre CERC)

Abstract

Mountain permafrost, constituting 30% of the global permafrost area, is sensitive to climate change and strongly impacts mountain ecosystems and communities. This study examines 21st century permafrost warming in European mountains using decadal ground temperature data from sixty-four boreholes in the Alps, Scandinavia, Iceland, Sierra Nevada and Svalbard. During 2013–2022, warming rates at 10 metres depth exceed 1 °C dec−1 in cases, generally surpassing previous estimates because of accelerated warming and the use of a comprehensive data set. Substantial permafrost warming occurred at cold and ice-poor bedrock sites at high elevations and latitudes, at rates comparable to surface air temperature increase. In contrast, latent heat effects in ice-rich ground near 0 °C reduce warming rates and mask important changes of mountain permafrost substrates. The warming patterns observed are consistent across all sites, depths and time periods. For the coming decades, the propagation of permafrost warming to greater depths is largely predetermined already.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeannette Noetzli & Ketil Isaksen & Jamie Barnett & Hanne H. Christiansen & Reynald Delaloye & Bernd Etzelmüller & Daniel Farinotti & Thomas Gallemann & Mauro Guglielmin & Christian Hauck & Christin H, 2024. "Enhanced warming of European mountain permafrost in the early 21st century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-54831-9
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-54831-9
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