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Climate change enhances interannual variability of the Nile river flow

Author

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  • Mohamed S. Siam

    (Ralph M. Parsons Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Elfatih A. B. Eltahir

    (Ralph M. Parsons Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

Abstract

Nile basin countries are expected to double their population by 2050. Observations and climate model projections now suggest water resources may be additionally stretched by a 50% (±35%) increase in interannual Nile flow variability in the twenty-first century.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed S. Siam & Elfatih A. B. Eltahir, 2017. "Climate change enhances interannual variability of the Nile river flow," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(5), pages 350-354, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:5:d:10.1038_nclimate3273
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3273
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    Cited by:

    1. Grethe, H. & Siddig, K. & Stepanyan, D. & Zhu, T. & Wiebelt, M., 2018. "Beyond mean rainfall and temperature changes: distributional effects of stochastic yield variability in the Sudan," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 275903, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Sarah Alexander & Ezana Atsbeha & Selam Negatu & Kristen Kirksey & Dominique Brossard & Elizabeth Holzer & Paul Block, 2020. "Development of an interdisciplinary, multi-method approach to seasonal climate forecast communication at the local scale," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(4), pages 2021-2042, October.
    3. Zhong, Ruida & Zhao, Tongtiegang & He, Yanhu & Chen, Xiaohong, 2019. "Hydropower change of the water tower of Asia in 21st century: A case of the Lancang River hydropower base, upper Mekong," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 685-696.
    4. Qianhan Wu & Linghong Ke & Jida Wang & Tamlin M. Pavelsky & George H. Allen & Yongwei Sheng & Xuejun Duan & Yunqiang Zhu & Jin Wu & Lei Wang & Kai Liu & Tan Chen & Wensong Zhang & Chenyu Fan & Bin Yon, 2023. "Satellites reveal hotspots of global river extent change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    5. Siddig, Khalid & Stepanyan, Davit & Wiebelt, Manfred & Grethe, Harald & Zhu, Tingju, 2020. "Climate change and agriculture in the Sudan: Impact pathways beyond changes in mean rainfall and temperature," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    6. Zhong, Ruida & Zhao, Tongtiegang & Chen, Xiaohong, 2021. "Evaluating the tradeoff between hydropower benefit and ecological interest under climate change: How will the water-energy-ecosystem nexus evolve in the upper Mekong basin?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    7. Julia Reis & Julie Shortridge, 2020. "Impact of Uncertainty Parameter Distribution on Robust Decision Making Outcomes for Climate Change Adaptation under Deep Uncertainty," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(3), pages 494-511, March.
    8. Gerkani Nezhad Moshizi, Zahra & Bazrafshan, Ommolbanin & Ramezani Etedali, Hadi & Esmaeilpour, Yahya & Collins, Brain, 2023. "Application of inclusive multiple model for the prediction of saffron water footprint," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    9. Meressa, Abrha Megos & Navrud, Stale, 2020. "Not my cup of coffee: Farmers’ preferences for coffee variety traits – Lessons for crop breeding in the age of climate change," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 9(3), December.
    10. Julie E. Shortridge & Benjamin F. Zaitchik, 2018. "Characterizing climate change risks by linking robust decision frameworks and uncertain probabilistic projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 525-539, December.
    11. Terwisscha van Scheltinga, Catharien & de Miguel Garcia, Angel & Wilbers, Gert-Jan & Wolters, Wouter & Heesmans, Hanneke & Dankers, Rutger & Smit, Robert & Smaling, Eric, 2022. "IFAD Research Series 81: Food and water systems in semi-arid regions – case study: Egypt," IFAD Research Series 322002, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).

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