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Rapid intensification of the emerging southwestern North American megadrought in 2020–2021

Author

Listed:
  • A. Park Williams

    (University of California, Los Angeles
    Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University)

  • Benjamin I. Cook

    (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University
    NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies)

  • Jason E. Smerdon

    (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University)

Abstract

A previous reconstruction back to 800 ce indicated that the 2000–2018 soil moisture deficit in southwestern North America was exceeded during one megadrought in the late-1500s. Here, we show that after exceptional drought severity in 2021, ~19% of which is attributable to anthropogenic climate trends, 2000–2021 was the driest 22-yr period since at least 800. This drought will very likely persist through 2022, matching the duration of the late-1500s megadrought.

Suggested Citation

  • A. Park Williams & Benjamin I. Cook & Jason E. Smerdon, 2022. "Rapid intensification of the emerging southwestern North American megadrought in 2020–2021," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(3), pages 232-234, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:12:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1038_s41558-022-01290-z
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01290-z
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    Cited by:

    1. Margiana Petersen-Rockney, 2022. "Farmers adapt to climate change irrespective of stated belief in climate change: a California case study," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 173(3), pages 1-23, August.
    2. Knipper, Kyle & Yang, Yun & Anderson, Martha & Bambach, Nicolas & Kustas, William & McElrone, Andrew & Gao, Feng & Alsina, Maria Mar, 2023. "Decreased latency in landsat-derived land surface temperature products: A case for near-real-time evapotranspiration estimation in California," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    3. Brianda Hernandez Rosales & Alexandra Lutz, 2023. "Assessing the Feasibility of Rooftop Rainwater Harvesting for Food Production in Northwestern Arizona on the Hualapai Indian Reservation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-16, February.
    4. Douglas J. Kennett & Marilyn Masson & Carlos Peraza Lope & Stanley Serafin & Richard J. George & Tom C. Spencer & Julie A. Hoggarth & Brendan J. Culleton & Thomas K. Harper & Keith M. Prufer & Susan M, 2022. "Drought-Induced Civil Conflict Among the Ancient Maya," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Renee Obringer & Dave D. White, 2023. "Leveraging Unsupervised Learning to Develop a Typology of Residential Water Users’ Attitudes Towards Conservation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(1), pages 37-53, January.
    6. Elizabeth C. Hirschman, 2022. "Climate Change Migration and the Economic Rebirth of Central Appalachia," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-18, October.

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