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International Evidence on a New Keynesian Theory of the Output-Inflation Trade-Off

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  • DeFina, Robert H

Abstract

This article provides empirical evidence on the validity of a "New Keynesian" theory of the output-inflation tradeoff. The theory, offered by Laurence Ball, N. Gregory Mankiw, and David Romer (1988), synthesizes recent work on "menu costs" and imperfect competition used to ground Keynesian theory in maximizing behavior. The present paper focuses on a key prediction, namely, that higher average inflation makes output less sensitive to nominal shocks. That proposition is tested using data for each of forty-three countries. Importantly, average inflation is found to have the predicted effect in a significant fraction of those countries, an outcome which supports the New Keynesian view. Copyright 1991 by Ohio State University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • DeFina, Robert H, 1991. "International Evidence on a New Keynesian Theory of the Output-Inflation Trade-Off," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 23(3), pages 410-422, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:23:y:1991:i:3:p:410-22
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Amano & Don Coletti & Tiff Macklem, 1998. "Monetary rules when economic behaviour changes," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    2. Loungani, Prakash & Razin, Assaf & Yuen, Chi-Wa, 2001. "Capital mobility and the output-inflation tradeoff," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 255-274, February.
    3. Laurence Ball & Sandeep Mazumder, 2011. "Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 42(1 (Spring), pages 337-405.
    4. Emmanuel De Veirman, 2009. "What Makes the Output-Inflation Trade-Off Change? The Absence of Accelerating Deflation in Japan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1117-1140, September.
    5. Emmanuel De Veirman & Andrew T. Levin, 2011. "Cyclical Changes in Firm Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2011-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    6. Nishizaki, Kenji & Watanabe, Tsutomu, 2000. "Output-Inflation Trade-Off at Near-Zero Inflation Rates," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 304-326, December.
    7. Kiley, Michael T, 2000. "Endogenous Price Stickiness and Business Cycle Persistence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(1), pages 28-53, February.
    8. Rongrong Sun, 2014. "Nominal rigidity and some new evidence on the New Keynesian theory of the output-inflation tradeoff," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 575-597, December.
    9. Koelln, Kenneth & Rush, Mark & Waldo, Doug, 1996. "Do government policy multipliers decrease with inflation?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 495-505, December.
    10. Andrejs Bessonovs & Olegs Tkacevs, 2016. "Relationship Between Inflation and Economic Activity and Its Variation Over Time in Latvia," Working Papers 2016/03, Latvijas Banka.
    11. Loo, Clifton Mark & Lastrapes, William D., 1998. "Identifying the Effects of Money Supply Shocks on Industry-Level Output," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 431-449, July.
    12. Abbott, Brant & Martínez, Cristina, 2008. "An updated assessment of the Lucas supply curve and the inflation-output trade-off," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 101(3), pages 199-201, December.

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