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Explorando escenarios de desarrollo sostenible utilizando inteligencia colectiva y modelado de dinámica de sistemas: el caso de la explotación del litio

Author

Listed:
  • Diego Luzuriaga

    (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, Argentina)

Abstract

Las baterías de ion de litio desempeñan un papel fundamental en la energía renovable, alimentando una multitud de dispositivos recargables. La transición a fuentes renovables potencia la demanda de litio, ofreciendo ventajas a las naciones con reservas, pero también planteando posibles riesgos para los recursos de suelo y agua. Investigaciones anteriores se han centrado principalmente en dimensiones específicas como la aceptación social, la sostenibilidad del agua y el desarrollo económico. Poco se ha desarrollado usando un análisis integrado que abarque tanto los aspectos holísticos como los individuales simultáneamente. Aplicamos experimentos de inteligencia colectiva y la metodología de dinámica de sistemas para desentrañar la complejidad dinámica de este problema y revelar la relación entre variables y sus interacciones a medida que se desarrollan con el tiempo. Nuestra investigación sugiere que, aunque hay cierto espacio para la utilización sostenible, los riesgos para las partes involucradas muestran una clara asimetría. Mientras que las ganancias económicas parecen estables en varios escenarios, la susceptibilidad de la comunidad local se vuelve notablemente frágil debido a la explotación excesiva del agua.

Suggested Citation

  • Diego Luzuriaga, 2025. "Explorando escenarios de desarrollo sostenible utilizando inteligencia colectiva y modelado de dinámica de sistemas: el caso de la explotación del litio," Revista Ciencias Administrativas (CADM), IIA, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, Instituto de Investigaciones Administrativas, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, issue 26, pages 1-27, July-Dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:lap:recadm:214
    DOI: 10.24215/23143738e165
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    File URL: https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/CADM/article/view/15967
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vikström, Hanna & Davidsson, Simon & Höök, Mikael, 2013. "Lithium availability and future production outlooks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 252-266.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q25 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Water
    • Q57 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Ecological Economics

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