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A magyar mezőgazdaság nemzetközi versenyképessége - múltbeli teljesítmény és jövőkép
[International competitiveness of Hungarian agriculture: past performance and future projections]

Author

Listed:
  • Gorton, Matthew
  • Davidova, Sophia
  • Banse, Martin
  • Bailey, Alistair

Abstract

A magyar mezőgazdaság nemzetközi versenyképességét a csatlakozás előtti időszakra vonatkozó hazai erőforrásköltség-mutatók becslésével, 2000-2002-es adatok felhasználásával mérjük. Számításaink szerint Magyarország nemzetközi versenyképessége gyengült a gabonatermelésben a 1990-es évek közepéhez képest, a magyar forint felértékelődése, a statikus hazai kereslet és a szomszédos országok terménynövekedése miatt. Míg a tejtermelés nem maradt versenyképes, a társas gazdaságok sertés- és baromfitenyésztése nemzetközileg versenyképessé vált az alacsonyabb takarmányköltségek, valamint az EU-csatlakozás kedvezőbb feltételei miatt. A magyar mezőgazdaság versenyképességét a 2007-2013-as időszakra három lehetséges forgatókönyv szerint becsültük: 1. nincs csatlakozás, 2. csatlakozás a termelékenység növekedésének múltbeli alakulásával, 3. csatlakozás a termelékenység dinamikus növekedésének figyelembevételével. Az elemzés azt mutatja, hogy a csatlakozás kedvezőtlenül hat a magyar mezőgazdaság nemzetközi versenyképességére, növelve a föld- és munkaerőárakat. A gabonaágazat versenyképességének fenntartásához Magyarországnak dinamikus termelékenységjavulást kell elérnie a magasabb tényezőköltségek ellensúlyozása érdekében. Valószínűleg a tejszektor egyetlen forgatókönyv alapján sem lesz versenyképes. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: Q13.

Suggested Citation

  • Gorton, Matthew & Davidova, Sophia & Banse, Martin & Bailey, Alistair, 2005. "A magyar mezőgazdaság nemzetközi versenyképessége - múltbeli teljesítmény és jövőkép [International competitiveness of Hungarian agriculture: past performance and future projections]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 66-80.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:734
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness

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