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Langsame Erholung in unsicheren Zeiten

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Abstract

This text summarises the 2016/17 winter forecast of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, released on 15 December 2016. The first part discusses recent economic developments abroad and in Switzerland, and presents the main forecast results across the various sectors of the economy. In the second part, the forecasts for Switzerland follow. The third part contains a closer look at the international economy. We expect the Swiss economy to grow by 1.4% in 2016, 1.6% in 2017 and 1.9% in 2018, respectively. Compared with our last forecast in October 2016, this amounts to a slight downward revision for the current and the upcoming year, which is mainly due to the newly available provisional data for the third quarter 2016.

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Langsame Erholung in unsicheren Zeiten," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(4), pages 1-27, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:kof:anskof:v:10:y:2016:i:4:p:1-27
    DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-005427569
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    1. Nadim Ahmad & François Lequiller & Pascal Marianna & Dirk Pilat & Paul Schreyer & Anita Wölfl, 2003. "Comparing Labour Productivity Growth in the OECD Area: The Role of Measurement," OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers 2003/14, OECD Publishing.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Switzerland; business cycle; macroeconomic forecast;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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